Skip to content
STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
Menu

Locomotive Engineers

Drive electric, diesel-electric, steam, or gas-turbine-electric locomotives to transport passengers or freight. Interpret train orders, electronic or manual signals, and railroad rules and regulations.

33,470 people do this job in the US. $81,410 a year.

now
3%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 3%
  • 1%
  • 96%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 3% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 3%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 3% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Receive starting signals from conductors and use controls such as throttles or air brakes to drive electric, diesel-electric, steam, or gas turbine-electric locomotives.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 22%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Monitor gauges or meters that measure speed, amperage, battery charge, or air pressure in brake lines or in main reservoirs.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 22%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Observe tracks to detect obstructions.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 22%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Operate locomotives to transport freight or passengers between stations or to assemble or disassemble trains within rail yards.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 22%3.3 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Interpret train orders, signals, or railroad rules and regulations that govern the operation of locomotives.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 2%13 min4 min to 38 min99%Half by now
Inspect locomotives after runs to detect damaged or defective equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 2%42 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Inspect locomotives to verify adequate fuel, sand, water, or other supplies before each run or to check for mechanical problems.Done daily by most who do it. 2%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Confer with conductors or traffic control center personnel via radiophones to issue or receive information concerning stops, delays, or oncoming trains.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 1%8 min3 min to 25 minStays with people
Check to ensure that brake examination tests are conducted at shunting stations.Done daily by most who do it. 1%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Monitor train loading procedures to ensure that freight or rolling stock are loaded or unloaded without damage.Done daily by most who do it.1%50 min17 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Respond to emergency conditions or breakdowns, following applicable safety procedures and rules.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 1%50 min13 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Prepare reports regarding any problems encountered, such as accidents, signaling problems, unscheduled stops, or delays.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 0.6%33 min13 min to 1.3 h99%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).