Intelligence Analysts
Gather, analyze, or evaluate information from a variety of sources, such as law enforcement databases, surveillance, intelligence networks or geographic information systems. Use intelligence data to anticipate and prevent organized crime activities, such as terrorism.
$93,790 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).
of the working time. Estimate.
- 87%
- 2%
- 11%
Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 8%. Today's estimate: 14%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 21 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gather, analyze, correlate, or evaluate information from a variety of resources, such as law enforcement databases.Done daily by most who do it. | 9% | 3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days | 25%Half by Mar 2027 | |
| Analyze intelligence data to identify patterns and trends in criminal activity.Done daily by most who do it. | 9% | 5 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days | 14%Half by Jul 2027 | |
| Establish criminal profiles to aid in connecting criminal organizations with their members.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 9% | 6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days | 8%Half by Sep 2027 | |
| Study activities relating to narcotics, money laundering, gangs, auto theft rings, terrorism, or other national security threats.Done daily by most who do it. | 9% | 6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days | 8%Half by Sep 2027 | |
| Develop defense plans or tactics, using intelligence and other information.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 8% | 1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days | 2%Half by Feb 2028 | |
| Prepare comprehensive written reports, presentations, maps, or charts, based on research, collection, and analysis of intelligence data.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 7% | 1 work day2.5 h to 4.2 work days | 5%Half by Dec 2027 | |
| Evaluate records of communications, such as telephone calls, to plot activity and determine the size and location of criminal groups and members.Done daily by most who do it. | 7% | 5 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days | 14%Half by Jul 2027 | |
| Gather intelligence information by field observation, confidential information sources, or public records.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 6% | 3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work days | Stays with people | |
| Predict future gang, organized crime, or terrorist activity, using analyses of intelligence data.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 6% | 6.7 h2.5 h to 3.3 work days | 9%Half by Sep 2027 | |
| Design, use, or maintain databases and software applications, such as geographic information systems (GIS) mapping and artificial intelligence tools.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 6% | 3.3 h50 min to 2.1 work days | 18%Half by Jul 2027 | |
| Link or chart suspects to criminal organizations or events to determine activities and interrelationships.Done daily by most who do it. | 5% | 4.2 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days | 23%Half by Mar 2027 | |
| Validate known intelligence with data from other sources.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 1.7 h25 min to 5 h | 51%Half by now |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Digital Forensics Analysts24% now, 95% by 2028
- Private Detectives and Investigators12% now, 59% by 2028
- Detectives and Criminal Investigators35% now, 67% by 2028
- Information Security Analysts13% now, 92% by 2028
- Data Scientists22% now, 98% by 2028
- Fraud Examiners, Investigators and Analysts15% now, 71% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.