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Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers

Study the composition, structure, and other physical aspects of the Earth. May use geological, physics, and mathematics knowledge in exploration for oil, gas, minerals, or underground water; or in waste disposal, land reclamation, or other environmental problems. May study the Earth's internal composition, atmospheres, and oceans, and its magnetic, electrical, and gravitational forces. Includes mineralogists, paleontologists, stratigraphers, geodesists, and seismologists.

23,470 people do this job in the US. $101,920 a year.

now
3%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 88%
  • 1%
  • 11%
4%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
September 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 88% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 2%. Today's estimate: 3%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 2% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 3% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 32 tasks from .

TaskKind
Analyze and interpret geological data, using computer software.Done daily by most who do it. 8%5 h50 min to 2.5 work days9%Half by Dec 2027
Communicate geological findings by writing research papers, participating in conferences, or teaching geological science at universities.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Locate and estimate probable natural gas, oil, or mineral ore deposits or underground water resources, using aerial photographs, charts, or research or survey results.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Study historical climate change indicators found in locations, such as ice sheets or rock formations to develop climate change models.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Prepare geological maps, cross-sectional diagrams, charts, or reports concerning mineral extraction, land use, or resource management, using results of fieldwork or laboratory research.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 6%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work week2%Half by Apr 2028
Conduct geological or geophysical studies to provide information for use in regional development, site selection, or development of public works projects.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Research geomechanical or geochemical processes to be used in carbon sequestration projects.Done yearly or less by most who do it.5%1.7 work weeks2.1 work days to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by May 2029
Analyze and interpret geological, geochemical, or geophysical information from sources, such as survey data, well logs, bore holes, or aerial photos.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028
Plan or conduct geological, geochemical, or geophysical field studies or surveys, sample collection, or drilling and testing programs used to collect data for research or application.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeksStays with people
Develop strategies for more environmentally friendly resource extraction and reclamation.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028
Determine methods to incorporate geomethane or methane hydrates into global energy production or evaluate the potential environmental impacts of such incorporation.Done yearly or less by most who do it.4%1.7 work weeks2.1 work days to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by May 2029
Develop applied software for the analysis and interpretation of geological data.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 4%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).