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Soil and Plant Scientists

Conduct research in breeding, physiology, production, yield, and management of crops and agricultural plants or trees, shrubs, and nursery stock, their growth in soils, and control of pests; or study the chemical, physical, biological, and mineralogical composition of soils as they relate to plant or crop growth. May classify and map soils and investigate effects of alternative practices on soil and crop productivity.

15,730 people do this job in the US. $78,850 a year.

now
1%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 27%
  • 1%
  • 72%
5%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
September 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 27% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 1%. Today's estimate: 1%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 1% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 1% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 27 tasks from .

TaskKind
Study soil characteristics to classify soils on the basis of factors such as geographic location, landscape position, or soil properties.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%2.8 work days6.7 h to 2.5 work weeksStays with people
Investigate responses of soils to specific management practices to determine the use capabilities of soils and the effects of alternative practices on soil productivity.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%4.2 work days2.1 work days to 3.5 work weeksStays with people
Study ways to improve agricultural sustainability, such as the use of new methods of composting.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.4 work weeks6.7 h to 1.3 work months0%Half by Jan 2030
Develop improved measurement techniques, soil conservation methods, soil sampling devices, or related technology.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 work weeks1.7 work days to 1.9 work monthsStays with people
Conduct research to determine best methods of planting, spraying, cultivating, harvesting, storing, processing, or transporting horticultural products.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%1.7 work weeks2.1 work days to 1.6 work monthsStays with people
Develop new or improved methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or insect pests.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%3.3 work weeks2.5 work days to 3.2 work monthsStays with people
Develop environmentally safe methods or products for controlling or eliminating weeds, crop diseases, or pests.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%3.3 work weeks2.5 work days to 3.2 work monthsStays with people
Conduct experiments to develop new or improved varieties of field crops, focusing on characteristics such as yield, quality, disease resistance, nutritional value, or adaptation to specific soils or climates.Done daily by most who do it. 5%3.5 work weeks4.2 work days to 2.4 work monthsStays with people
Conduct experiments to investigate the underlying mechanisms of plant growth and response to the environment.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%3.5 work weeks2.5 work days to 1.9 work monthsStays with people
Conduct experiments investigating how soil forms, changes, or interacts with land-based ecosystems or living organisms.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%3.5 work weeks4.2 work days to 2.4 work monthsStays with people
Provide advice regarding the development of regulatory standards for land reclamation or soil conservation.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeks1%Half by Jul 2028
Develop ways of altering soils to suit different types of plants.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%4.2 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Nov 2028

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).