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Hydrologists

Research the distribution, circulation, and physical properties of underground and surface waters; and study the form and intensity of precipitation and its rate of infiltration into the soil, movement through the earth, and return to the ocean and atmosphere.

5,850 people do this job in the US. $96,600 a year.

now
0%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 76%
  • 3%
  • 20%
7%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
January 2029

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 76% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 25 tasks from .

TaskKind
Conduct research and communicate information to promote the conservation and preservation of water resources.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028
Apply research findings to help minimize the environmental impacts of pollution, waterborne diseases, erosion, and sedimentation.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%4.2 work days6.7 h to 2.5 work weeks0%Half by Jan 2029
Study public water supply issues, including flood and drought risks, water quality, wastewater, and impacts on wetland habitats.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%1.3 work weeks1.7 work days to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Feb 2029
Study and analyze the physical aspects of the earth in terms of hydrological components, including atmosphere, hydrosphere, and interior structure.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.3 work weeks1.7 work days to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Prepare hydrogeologic evaluations of known or suspected hazardous waste sites and land treatment and feedlot facilities.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 7%1.3 work weeks2.1 work days to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by Feb 2029
Study and document quantities, distribution, disposition, and development of underground and surface waters.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.7 work weeks2.1 work days to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Develop computer models for hydrologic predictions.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%3.3 work weeks4.2 work days to 2.3 work months0%Half by Dec 2029
Design and conduct scientific hydrogeological investigations to ensure that accurate and appropriate information is available for use in water resource management decisions.Done daily by most who do it. 7%3.5 work weeks4.2 work days to 1.9 work monthsStays with people
Measure and graph phenomena such as lake levels, stream flows, and changes in water volumes.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 7%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Conduct short- and long-term climate assessments and study storm occurrences.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%1.7 work weeks1.7 work days to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by May 2029
Evaluate data and provide recommendations regarding the feasibility of municipal projects, such as hydroelectric power plants, irrigation systems, flood warning systems, and waste treatment facilities.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 6%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Evaluate research data in terms of its impact on issues such as soil and water conservation, flood control planning, and water supply forecasting.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Jun 2028

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).