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Geographers

Study the nature and use of areas of the Earth's surface, relating and interpreting interactions of physical and cultural phenomena. Conduct research on physical aspects of a region, including land forms, climates, soils, plants, and animals, and conduct research on the spatial implications of human activities within a given area, including social characteristics, economic activities, and political organization, as well as researching interdependence between regions at scales ranging from local to global.

1,400 people do this job in the US. $102,040 a year.

now
8%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 74%
  • 13%
  • 13%
11%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
October 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 74% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 8%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 8% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 12 tasks from .

TaskKind
Study the economic, political, and cultural characteristics of a specific region's population.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 20%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Analyze geographic distributions of physical and cultural phenomena on local, regional, continental, or global scales.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 17%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Gather and compile geographic data from sources such as censuses, field observations, satellite imagery, aerial photographs, and existing maps.Done daily by most who do it. 15%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Create and modify maps, graphs, or diagrams, using geographical information software and related equipment, and principles of cartography, such as coordinate systems, longitude, latitude, elevation, topography, and map scales.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 13%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027
Write and present reports of research findings.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Develop, operate, and maintain geographical information computer systems, including hardware, software, plotters, digitizers, printers, and video cameras.Done daily by most who do it. 7%3.3 h50 min to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Teach geography.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Collect data on physical characteristics of specified areas, such as geological formations, climates, and vegetation, using surveying or meteorological equipment.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Provide geographical information systems support to the private and public sectors.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%1.7 h25 min to 6.7 h43%Half by Nov 2026
Provide consulting services in fields such as resource development and management, business location and market area analysis, environmental hazards, regional cultural history, and urban social planning.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 3%6.7 h2.5 h to 2.8 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Locate and obtain existing geographic information databases.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%1.3 h25 min to 4.2 h69%Half by now
Conduct field work at outdoor sites.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 1%6.7 h3.3 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).