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Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Set up, operate, or tend machines to saw, cut, shear, slit, punch, crimp, notch, bend, or straighten metal or plastic material.

171,200 people do this job in the US. $46,330 a year.

now
7%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 7%
  • 0%
  • 93%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 7% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 7%. Today's estimate: 7%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 4% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 6% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 7% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 7% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 31 tasks from .

TaskKind
Set up, operate, or tend machines to saw, cut, shear, slit, punch, crimp, notch, bend, or straighten metal or plastic material.Done daily by most who do it. 13%38 min13 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Install, align, and lock specified punches, dies, cutting blades, or other fixtures in rams or beds of machines, using gauges, templates, feelers, shims, and hand tools.Done hourly or more by most who do it.9%33 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Clean and lubricate machines.Done daily by most who do it.6%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Set stops on machine beds, change dies, and adjust components, such as rams or power presses, when making multiple or successive passes.Done hourly or more by most who do it.6%29 min13 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Start machines, monitor their operations, and record operational data.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%13 min4 min to 50 minStays with people
Plan sequences of operations, applying knowledge of physical properties of workpiece materials.Done daily by most who do it.5%25 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Clean work area.Done daily by most who do it. 5%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Remove housings, feed tubes, tool holders, or other accessories to replace worn or broken parts, such as springs or bushings.Done yearly or less by most who do it.4%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Position guides, stops, holding blocks, or other fixtures to secure and direct workpieces, using hand tools and measuring devices.Done hourly or more by most who do it.4%17 min4 min to 42 minStays with people
Test and adjust machine speeds or actions, according to product specifications, using gauges and hand tools.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%13 min4 min to 29 minStays with people
Sharpen dulled blades, using bench grinders, abrasive wheels, or lathes.Done more than monthly by most who do it.4%33 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Examine completed workpieces for defects, such as chipped edges or marred surfaces and sort defective pieces according to types of flaws.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%8 min3 min to 17 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.