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Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Set up, operate, or tend forging machines to taper, shape, or form metal or plastic parts.

8,930 people do this job in the US. $49,030 a year.

now
6%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 6%
  • 2%
  • 92%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 6% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 6%. Today's estimate: 6%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 5% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 6% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 6% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 6% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 12 tasks from .

TaskKind
Set up, operate, or tend presses and forging machines to perform hot or cold forging by flattening, straightening, bending, cutting, piercing, or other operations to taper, shape, or form metal.Done daily by most who do it. 15%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Position and move metal wires or workpieces through a series of dies that compress and shape stock to form die impressions.Done daily by most who do it.13%50 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Repair, maintain, and replace parts on dies.Done more than weekly by most who do it.13%2.1 h38 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Select, align, and bolt positioning fixtures, stops, and specified dies to rams and anvils, forging rolls, or presses and hammers.Done daily by most who do it.11%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Measure and inspect machined parts to ensure conformance to product specifications.Done daily by most who do it. 9%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Start machines to produce sample workpieces, and observe operations to detect machine malfunctions and to verify that machine setups conform to specifications.Done daily by most who do it. 8%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Install, adjust, and remove dies, synchronizing cams, forging hammers, and stop guides, using overhead cranes or other hoisting devices, and hand tools.Done daily by most who do it.8%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Trim and compress finished forgings to specified tolerances.Done daily by most who do it. 7%33 min13 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Read work orders or blueprints to determine specified tolerances and sequences of operations for machine setup.Done daily by most who do it. 6%13 min4 min to 25 min100%Half by now
Remove dies from machines when production runs are finished.Done daily by most who do it.5%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Turn handles or knobs to set pressures and depths of ram strokes and to synchronize machine operations.Done daily by most who do it. 4%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Confer with other workers about machine setups and operational specifications.Done daily by most who do it. 2%8 min4 min to 17 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.