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Bailiffs

Maintain order in courts of law.

17,310 people do this job in the US. $56,600 a year.

now
8%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 9%
  • 0%
  • 91%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 9% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 7%. Today's estimate: 8%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 4% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 4% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 7% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 8% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Escort prisoners to and from courthouse and maintain custody of prisoners during court proceedings.Done several times a day by most who do it. 22%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Maintain order in courtroom during trial and guard jury from outside contact.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 21%3.3 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Provide security by patrolling interior and exterior of courthouse and escorting judges and other court employees.Done daily by most who do it. 11%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Guard lodging of sequestered jury.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 10%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Screen persons entering courthouse using magnetometers, x-ray machines, and other devices to collect and retain unauthorized firearms and other contraband.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Maintain court docket.Done daily by most who do it.8%50 min13 min to 1.7 h90%Half by now
Enforce courtroom rules of behavior and warn persons not to smoke or disturb court procedure.Done daily by most who do it. 6%17 min4 min to 50 minStays with people
Provide jury escort to restaurant and other areas outside of courtroom to prevent jury contact with public.Done yearly or less by most who do it.5%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Check courtroom for security and cleanliness and assure availability of sundry supplies, such as notepads, for use by judge, jurors, and attorneys.Done daily by most who do it. 2%25 min8 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Screen, control, and handle evidence and exhibits during court proceedings.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%50 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Provide assistance to the public, such as directions to court offices.Done daily by most who do it. 1%4 min2 min to 13 min100%Half by now
Arrest persons in court when arrest warrants have been issued.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 0.9%38 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).