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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN

Automotive Engineering Technicians

In short: today's best AI models could do about 19% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about the same by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 81% of the time, stays with people.

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Assist engineers in determining the practicality of proposed product design changes and plan and carry out tests on experimental test devices or equipment for performance, durability, or efficiency.

$74,510 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

A typical 40-hour week

Not yet reviewed task by task
  • AI could take on8 h
  • A person checks AI's work0 h
  • Desk work AI can't do yet0 h
  • Stays with people32 h

Automotive Engineering Technicians, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 8 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 0 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 32 hours stay with people.

The largest pieces: Analyze test data for automotive systems, subsystems, or component parts (about 3 h); Analyze performance of vehicles or components that have been redesigned to increase fuel efficiency, such as camless or dual-clutch engines or alternative types of air-conditioning systems (about 2 h); Recommend product or component design improvements, based on test data or observations (under an hour).

Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.

now
19%

of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

Kinds of work
  • 19%
  • 0%
  • 81%
7%

of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 19% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030
Change assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 10%. Today's estimate: 19%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 10% within reachToday (estimate), November 2026: 19% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Measured use over time

Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, 0.032% went to this job's tasks in May 2026, the 257th largest of the 447 jobs that showed up at all; 2 of its 18 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.069% to 0.028% (released February and March 2025); 0.013% to 0.0045% (August 2025 to February 2026); 0.023% to 0.032% (April to May 2026).

0%0.05%0.1%20252026released February 2025: 0.069%released March 2025: 0.028%the week of Aug 4, 2025: 0.013%the week of Nov 13, 2025: 0.0064%the week of Feb 5, 2026: 0.0045%April 2026: 0.023%May 2026: 0.032%
Each dot is one release's sample. A line joins releases made by the same method; a change of method starts a new line. Point at a dot for its window.
Each release
ConversationsShareRankTasks seen
Released February 20250.069%229 of 7085 of 18
Released March 20250.028%370 of 7035 of 18
The week of Aug 4, 20250.013%419 of 6555 of 18
The week of Nov 13, 20250.0064%540 of 6722 of 18
The week of Feb 5, 20260.0045%580 of 6771 of 18
April 20260.023%288 of 4341 of 18
May 20260.032%257 of 4472 of 18

Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.

Robots and the physical work

Anthropic rates 58% of this job's working time as physical work. For 32% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 32% in a purpose-built cell. 0.32 of 3, the 378th highest of the 923 jobs.

  • Not physical 42%
  • No robot shown 26%
  • In a purpose-built cell 32%

Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.

The tasks

Sorted by . 18 tasks from .

TaskKind
Test performance of vehicles that use alternative fuels, such as alcohol blends, natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, biodiesel, nano diesel, or alternative power methods, such as solar energy or hydrogen fuel cells.Done more than monthly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, HORIBA ADS-7000 Automatic Driving System (with MEXA emissions bench and VETS) (sold). Anthropic's rating.15%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Monitor computer-controlled test equipment, according to written or verbal instructions.Done several times a day by most who do it. 10%1.7 h25 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Improve fuel efficiency by testing vehicles or components that use lighter materials, such as aluminum, magnesium alloy, or plastic.Done more than monthly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, HORIBA ADS-7000 Automatic Driving System (sold). Anthropic's rating.9%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Perform or execute manual or automated tests of automotive system or component performance, efficiency, or durability.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, HORIBA ADS EVO Automatic Driving System (sold). Anthropic's rating.9%3.3 h50 min to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Install equipment, such as instrumentation, test equipment, engines, or aftermarket products, to ensure proper interfaces.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.8%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Participate in research or testing of computerized automotive applications, such as telemetrics, intelligent transportation systems, artificial intelligence, or automatic control.Done more than monthly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Allion ART (AI Robotic Test Platform) Test Bench (deployed). Anthropic's rating.8%6.7 h1.7 h to 3.3 work daysStays with people
Analyze test data for automotive systems, subsystems, or component parts.Done daily by most who do it. 8%2.1 h50 min to 5 h99%Half by now
Build instrumentation or laboratory test equipment for special purposes.Done more than yearly by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.6%6.7 h3.3 h to 3.3 work daysStays with people
Analyze performance of vehicles or components that have been redesigned to increase fuel efficiency, such as camless or dual-clutch engines or alternative types of air-conditioning systems.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days91%Half by now
Inspect or test parts to determine nature or cause of defects or malfunctions.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, KUKA fully automated end-of-line test bench for BMW eDrive (Dingolfing) (deployed). Anthropic's rating.4%1.3 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Document test results, using cameras, spreadsheets, documents, or other tools.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Set up mechanical, hydraulic, or electric test equipment in accordance with engineering specifications, standards, or test procedures.Done more than monthly by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.4%1.7 h38 min to 6.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Questions about this job

How much of the work of Automotive Engineering Technicians is within reach of AI now?
An estimated 19% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 19% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five. Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
Which tasks of Automotive Engineering Technicians come within reach first?
Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Analyze test data for automotive systems, subsystems, or component parts (99% of the task's time now); Analyze performance of vehicles or components that have been redesigned to increase fuel efficiency, such as camless or dual-clutch engines or alternative types of air-conditioning systems (91% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028); and Recommend product or component design improvements, based on test data or observations (100% of the task's time now).
Which tasks of Automotive Engineering Technicians stay with people?
Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Test performance of vehicles that use alternative fuels, such as alcohol blends, natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, biodiesel, nano diesel, or alternative power methods, such as solar energy or hydrogen fuel cells; Monitor computer-controlled test equipment, according to written or verbal instructions; and Improve fuel efficiency by testing vehicles or components that use lighter materials, such as aluminum, magnesium alloy, or plastic. Together such tasks are about 81% of the working time.
Do people already use AI for the work of Automotive Engineering Technicians?
In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026 and tied to a work task, 0.032% went to this job's tasks, the 257th largest share of the 447 jobs that showed up; 2 of its 18 tasks appeared. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 7%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
Can robots do the physical work of Automotive Engineering Technicians?
Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds 58% of the working time is physical work, and that a robot has been shown doing most of the task, somewhere, for 32% of the working time. Its index is 0.32 of 3. One example: HORIBA ADS-7000 Automatic Driving System (with MEXA emissions bench and VETS) for "test performance of vehicles that use alternative fuels, such as alcohol blends, natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, biodiesel, nano diesel, or alternative power methods, such as solar energy or hydrogen fuel cells". A robot shown somewhere is not one in every workplace; this site's own estimates still count no physical work as within reach.
How is this estimated?
From the 18 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.

How the estimates are made

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