Metro area, South Carolina
Spartanburg, SC
165,150 people work in this area, at mean pay of $57,570 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 68 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 32%
- 17%
- 51%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 57% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 2,740 | 64% | 3.7 million | $42K |
| Office Clerks, General | 2,400 | 54% | 2.7 million | $37K |
| Registered Nurses | 4,440 | 28% | 2.6 million | $82K |
| Team Assemblers | 11,790 | 10% | 2.6 million | $59K |
| Cashiers | 5,420 | 19% | 2.1 million | $30K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 1,150 | 78% | 1.9 million | $48K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers | 2,380 | 32% | 1.6 million | $92K |
| Retail Salespersons | 3,790 | 19% | 1.5 million | $31K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,700 | 43% | 1.5 million | $44K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 1,350 | 53% | 1.5 million | $44K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 3,380 | 19% | 1.3 million | $37K |
| Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks | 900 | 63% | 1.2 million | $58K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 355 smaller jobs (67,480 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 96% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Review work orders and blueprints to ensure work is performed according to specifications.Team Assemblers1 million hours50% of the task within reach
- Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand846,803 hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete production reports to communicate team production level to management.Team Assemblers841,391 hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers796,931 hours100% of the task within reach
- Determine work assignments and procedures.Team Assemblers753,107 hours50% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses743,910 hours60% of the task within reach
- Attend training classes to maintain certification licensure, keep abreast of new developments in the field, or maintain existing knowledge.A job in this area707,483 hours99% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives620,130 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General601,137 hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives571,972 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in South Carolina
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC434,900 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- Columbia, SC394,200 people24% now, 37% by 2028
- Charleston-North Charleston, SC394,170 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, SC146,260 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- Northwestern South Carolina nonmetropolitan area93,600 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Florence, SC89,060 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Hilton Head Island-Bluffton-Port Royal, SC81,920 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Northeastern South Carolina nonmetropolitan area77,040 people21% now, 30% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works