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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN

Metro area, Louisiana

Shreveport-Bossier City, LA

162,750 people work in this area, at mean pay of $54,580 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
28%

of the paid hours. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

$3.5B

a year: 88 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 32%
  • 23%
  • 45%
6%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 22% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 30% within reach now and 36% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 32% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030
Change assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

What handing the work over would take

For the 147,177 people in jobs so far, 90% of the area's people; the others are in the totals above and join this split as the review reaches their jobs. Shares of their working time within reach now, at the pace and reliability chosen above. Estimates. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

17%

about 53 million hours a year. The material can be handed to a model and the result handed back.

11%

about 33 million hours a year. The model has to be connected to the system the work lives in.

, not counted
6%

about 20 million hours a year. Short enough by length. This site leaves conversation with people, so it is not in the totals.

What their work is made of

  • 21%
  • 11%
  • 7%
  • 16%
  • 45%

Each task's time split among five kinds of doing, judged one task at a time; only documents and systems can count as within reach.

What changes for the people

For the 147,177 people in jobs reviewed task by task so far, by the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five: the shares of their working time, from each job page's own map, weighted by how many people here do that job. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job. Estimates.

Stays with people
67%

Conversation, in-person and hands-on work.

Becomes checking
24%

Desk work within reach in tasks where a mistake costs something or a licensed person signs.

Handed over
8%

Desk work within reach that is small if wrong, with lighter checks.

What most people here would learn first

How many of them have each skill among the first two things to learn on their job's page. Every state, and the US

  • The hands-on craft76,892 (52%)
  • Judgment where errors are severe50,118 (34%)
  • Reviewing work you did not do yourself43,213 (29%)
  • The conversations39,073 (27%)
  • Briefing a model and checking its drafts31,805 (22%)
  • Signing off under your license20,602 (14%)
  • Running AI inside the business systems14,960 (10%)
  • Dealing with people outside the organization7,230 (5%)
  • Handling protected records360 (under 1%)

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 28%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 8% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 10% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 12% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 19% within reachToday (estimate), November 2026: 28% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Robots and the physical work

Anthropic rates 52% of the working time of the people in this area as physical work. For 36% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 24% in a purpose-built cell, 11% in a structured facility, 1% in any setting. 0.50 of 3.

  • Not physical 48%
  • No robot shown 15%
  • In a purpose-built cell 24%
  • In a structured facility 11%
  • In any setting 1%

Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. Weighted by the people in each occupation; each job's page names the robot behind each rated task.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index. The 40 largest jobs hold 57% of the people.

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 322 smaller jobs (65,570 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 93% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses
    1.1 million hours60% of the task within reach
  2. Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General
    761,440 hours100% of the task within reach
  3. Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses
    732,877 hours100% of the task within reach
  4. Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives
    624,656 hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks
    617,895 hours100% of the task within reach
  6. Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand
    591,926 hours100% of the task within reach
  7. Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers
    576,378 hours100% of the task within reach
  8. Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives
    576,147 hours100% of the task within reach
  9. Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons
    565,866 hours50% of the task within reach
  10. Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
    538,211 hours60% of the task within reach

The regional report on Shreveport-Bossier City, LA

This page lists the largest jobs. The scan reads the whole workforce: every occupation BLS publishes here that the site has task data for, 93% of the people, at their local headcount and pay. The preview is free. The full report ($249, or included in Pro) is the report for a workforce board, a college or an economic development team: every occupation and the tasks behind its hours, what handing the work over would take, what changes for the people in each job and what they would learn, with the workbook and the slides to cite. Dated, with the method. For workforce boards and colleges

See what it holds first: the full report for Worcester, MA, Excel and slides.

Other areas in Louisiana

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works

Questions about this area

How much of the work in Shreveport-Bossier City, LA is within reach of AI now?
An estimated 28% of the paid hours in Shreveport-Bossier City, LA are within reach of AI models now and 32% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (31% to 32% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
Which jobs in Shreveport-Bossier City, LA carry the most hours within reach?
By hours within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index): Registered Nurses (6,390 people, 37% of their time, about 4.9 million hours a year); Customer Service Representatives (2,760 people, 64% of their time, about 3.7 million hours a year); and Office Clerks, General (3,040 people, 56% of their time, about 3.6 million hours a year).
Which tasks in Shreveport-Bossier City, LA carry the most hours within reach by the end of 2028?
Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals (Registered Nurses, about 1.1 million hours a year); Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports (Office Clerks, General, about 761,440 hours a year); and Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records (Registered Nurses, about 732,877 hours a year).
What would people working in Shreveport-Bossier City, LA learn first?
Among the 147,177 people in jobs reviewed task by task, the skills most often among the first two things to learn on their job's page are the hands-on craft (76,892 people); judgment where errors are severe (50,118 people); and reviewing work you did not do yourself (43,213 people). By the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five, about 67% of their working time stays with people, 24% becomes checking a model's work and 8% can be handed over with lighter checks. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job.
How is this estimated?
BLS counts the people in each occupation in Shreveport-Bossier City, LA (May 2025); each occupation's share of working time within reach comes from its O*NET tasks, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. The area's share is those shares weighted by people. Task data covers 93% of its people, and 90% are in occupations reviewed task by task. Data checked November 10, 2026.

How the estimates are made

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