State
Ohio
5,550,180 people work in Ohio, at mean pay of $64,390 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 2.7 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 39%
- 8%
- 53%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 24%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 48% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 85,930 | 67% | 119 million | $46K |
| Office Clerks, General | 89,310 | 58% | 108 million | $44K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 45,140 | 76% | 72 million | $49K |
| Cashiers | 103,020 | 30% | 64 million | $29K |
| Registered Nurses | 143,730 | 21% | 62 million | $83K |
| General and Operations Managers | 153,160 | 19% | 59 million | $98K |
| Retail Salespersons | 137,370 | 20% | 57 million | $31K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 38,440 | 69% | 55 million | $59K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 58,740 | 44% | 54 million | $74K |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 163,560 | 15% | 52 million | $28K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 51,990 | 48% | 51 million | $37K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 129,760 | 18% | 48 million | $37K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 740 smaller jobs (2,855,480 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers49 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses40 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons33 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers27 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General22 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers22 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.A job in this area20 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive20 million hours89% of the task within reach
- Work with individuals, groups, or families to plan or implement programs designed to improve the overall health of communities.Registered Nurses20 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives19 million hours100% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in Ohio
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Columbus, OH1,105,580 people24% now, 39% by 2028
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN1,101,030 people24% now, 38% by 2028
- Cleveland, OH1,031,130 people24% now, 39% by 2028
- Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH372,660 people23% now, 38% by 2028
- Akron, OH319,560 people24% now, 38% by 2028
- Toledo, OH291,530 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- West Northwestern Ohio nonmetropolitan area249,750 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- North Northeastern Ohio nonmetropolitan area (noncontiguous)247,110 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Southern Ohio nonmetropolitan area163,220 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Canton-Massillon, OH163,080 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- Youngstown-Warren, OH160,160 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Eastern Ohio nonmetropolitan area136,500 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Sandusky, OH50,100 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Lima, OH49,950 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- Mansfield, OH48,770 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- Springfield, OH45,860 people23% now, 33% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works