State

Hawaii

627,530 people work in Hawaii, at mean pay of $70,270 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now

23%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$13B

a year: 282 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

Chosen to Ceiling: the share

DateNow

NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 23%.

Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 52% of the people.

	People			Pay here
Office Clerks, General	12,930	58%	16 million	$42K
Customer Service Representatives	8,010	67%	11 million	$46K
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers	10,090	47%	9.8 million	$63K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks	5,220	76%	8.3 million	$49K
Retail Salespersons	19,180	20%	7.9 million	$38K
Fast Food and Counter Workers	24,130	15%	7.6 million	$35K
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers	7,330	48%	7.2 million	$49K
Cashiers	10,780	30%	6.7 million	$37K
Receptionists and Information Clerks	3,510	83%	6.1 million	$42K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive	7,020	39%	5.7 million	$51K
Registered Nurses	12,940	21%	5.6 million	$136K
General and Operations Managers	13,380	19%	5.1 million	$108K

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 507 smaller jobs (286,720 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 95% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers
7.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons
4.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses
3.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General
3.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders
2.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
2.6 million hours89% of the task within reach
Implement corporate or departmental policies, procedures, and service standards in conjunction with management.First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers
2.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers
2.4 million hours99% of the task within reach
Collect payments from customers.Waiters and Waitresses
2.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General
2.3 million hours100% of the task within reach

Metro and nonmetro areas in Hawaii

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works