Metro area, Montana
Great Falls, MT
36,510 people work in this area, at mean pay of $59,170 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 15 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 34%
- 18%
- 48%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 57% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 720 | 54% | 813,197 | $44K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 440 | 78% | 710,196 | $46K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 340 | 81% | 570,711 | $45K |
| Registered Nurses | 880 | 28% | 508,852 | $78K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 360 | 64% | 482,227 | $42K |
| Retail Salespersons | 1,130 | 19% | 455,978 | $35K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 390 | 40% | 327,725 | $42K |
| General and Operations Managers | 690 | 23% | 327,228 | $89K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 790 | 19% | 312,208 | $37K |
| Cashiers | 760 | 19% | 292,448 | $31K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 300 | 43% | 265,825 | $43K |
| Insurance Sales Agents | 220 | 52% | 237,038 | $60K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 194 smaller jobs (13,110 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 84% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General180,341 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses147,442 hours60% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders146,981 hours50% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks143,092 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons136,923 hours50% of the task within reach
- Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants136,193 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compile reports of cost factors, such as labor, production, storage, and equipment.A job in this area124,741 hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers111,747 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses100,928 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General100,471 hours80% of the task within reach
Other areas in Montana
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Billings, MT93,800 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- West Montana nonmetropolitan area84,190 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Bozeman, MT72,210 people22% now, 35% by 2028
- Missoula, MT67,070 people23% now, 36% by 2028
- East-Central Montana nonmetropolitan area60,160 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Helena, MT44,420 people23% now, 42% by 2028
- Southwest Montana nonmetropolitan area39,080 people21% now, 32% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works