Metro area, Kentucky
Elizabethtown, KY
51,540 people work in this area, at mean pay of $56,110 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 22 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 37%
- 19%
- 45%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 59% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,020 | 64% | 1.4 million | $37K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 560 | 78% | 903,886 | $44K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 520 | 81% | 872,852 | $37K |
| Human Resources Specialists | 1,060 | 39% | 855,466 | $79K |
| Office Clerks, General | 650 | 54% | 734,136 | $37K |
| General and Operations Managers | 1,420 | 23% | 673,425 | $77K |
| Retail Salespersons | 1,570 | 19% | 633,527 | $29K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 520 | 53% | 572,166 | $41K |
| Cashiers | 1,340 | 19% | 515,632 | $28K |
| Registered Nurses | 870 | 28% | 503,070 | $78K |
| Team Assemblers | 2,140 | 10% | 462,925 | $51K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 530 | 40% | 445,370 | $36K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 201 smaller jobs (18,860 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 89% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives230,851 hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives212,924 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants208,295 hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers197,027 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons190,238 hours50% of the task within reach
- Review work orders and blueprints to ensure work is performed according to specifications.Team Assemblers189,243 hours50% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks182,116 hours100% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers181,575 hours40% of the task within reach
- Perform searches for qualified job candidates, using sources such as computer databases, networking, Internet recruiting resources, media advertisements, job fairs, recruiting firms, or employee referrals.Human Resources Specialists174,750 hours80% of the task within reach
- Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers173,589 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Kentucky
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN685,190 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Lexington-Fayette, KY286,910 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- Central Kentucky nonmetropolitan area172,720 people22% now, 35% by 2028
- South Central Kentucky nonmetropolitan area172,150 people23% now, 31% by 2028
- West Kentucky nonmetropolitan area128,740 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- East Kentucky nonmetropolitan area91,910 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- Bowling Green, KY82,160 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Paducah, KY-IL50,270 people23% now, 32% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works