Nonmetro area, Kentucky
East Kentucky nonmetropolitan area
91,910 people work in this area, at mean pay of $50,060 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 42 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 34%
- 19%
- 47%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 20% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 22%. Today's estimate: 24%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 61% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 2,020 | 81% | 3.4 million | $35K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 1,190 | 78% | 1.9 million | $43K |
| Registered Nurses | 3,190 | 28% | 1.8 million | $74K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,210 | 64% | 1.6 million | $36K |
| Office Clerks, General | 1,420 | 54% | 1.6 million | $32K |
| Cashiers | 3,610 | 19% | 1.4 million | $28K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,210 | 43% | 1.1 million | $38K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 1,680 | 30% | 1 million | $59K |
| General and Operations Managers | 2,140 | 23% | 1 million | $65K |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,250 | 19% | 907,920 | $28K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 1,010 | 40% | 848,725 | $30K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 2,020 | 19% | 798,304 | $31K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 230 smaller jobs (32,900 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 92% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants809,144 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses534,476 hours60% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers530,797 hours100% of the task within reach
- Operate office equipment, such as voice mail messaging systems, and use word processing, spreadsheet, or other software applications to prepare reports, invoices, financial statements, letters, case histories, or medical records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants450,454 hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete insurance or other claim forms.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants387,472 hours100% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks386,998 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compile and maintain non-monetary reports and records.Cashiers378,218 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses365,865 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General355,673 hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare correspondence or assist physicians or medical scientists with preparation of reports, speeches, articles, or conference proceedings.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants329,952 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Kentucky
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN685,190 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Lexington-Fayette, KY286,910 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- Central Kentucky nonmetropolitan area172,720 people22% now, 35% by 2028
- South Central Kentucky nonmetropolitan area172,150 people23% now, 31% by 2028
- West Kentucky nonmetropolitan area128,740 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- Bowling Green, KY82,160 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Elizabethtown, KY51,540 people23% now, 36% by 2028
- Paducah, KY-IL50,270 people23% now, 32% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works