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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN

Talent Directors

In short: today's best AI models could do about 59% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about 61% by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 39% of the time, stays with people.

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Audition and interview performers to select most appropriate talent for parts in stage, television, radio, or motion picture productions.

$90,360 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

A typical 40-hour week

Not yet reviewed task by task
  • AI could take on23 h
  • A person checks AI's work0 h
  • Desk work AI can't do yet1 h
  • Stays with people16 h

Talent Directors, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 23 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 1 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 16 hours stay with people.

The largest pieces: Arrange for or design screen tests or auditions for prospective performers (about 4 h); Maintain talent files that include information such as performers' specialties, past performances, and availability (about 3 h); Select performers for roles or submit lists of suitable performers to producers or directors for final selection (about 3 h).

Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.

now
59%

of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

Kinds of work
  • 61%
  • 15%
  • 24%
9%

of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 61% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030
Change assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 30%. Today's estimate: 59%.

0%25%50%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 5% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 8% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 8% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 12% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 30% within reachToday (estimate), November 2026: 59% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Measured use over time

Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, no reportable share went to this job's tasks in May 2026; 0 of its 15 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.015% to 0.034% (released February and March 2025); 0.0094% to 0.029% (August 2025 to February 2026).

0%0.025%0.05%20252026released February 2025: 0.015%released March 2025: 0.034%the week of Aug 4, 2025: 0.0094%the week of Nov 13, 2025: 0.03%the week of Feb 5, 2026: 0.029%April 2026: noneMay 2026: none
Each dot is one release's sample. A line joins releases made by the same method; a change of method starts a new line. Point at a dot for its window.
Each release
ConversationsShareRankTasks seen
Released February 20250.015%487 of 7084 of 15
Released March 20250.034%341 of 7036 of 15
The week of Aug 4, 20250.0094%464 of 6553 of 15
The week of Nov 13, 20250.03%319 of 6727 of 15
The week of Feb 5, 20260.029%345 of 6776 of 15
April 2026nonen/a0 of 15
May 2026nonen/a0 of 15

Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.

Robots and the physical work

Anthropic rates almost none of this job's working time as physical work, so robots do not reach it.

Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Direct shows, productions, and plays.Done more than yearly by most who do it.21%2.1 work days6.7 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Arrange for or design screen tests or auditions for prospective performers.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 12%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 h91%Half by now
Read scripts and confer with producers to determine the types and numbers of performers required for a given production.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.9%3.3 h50 min to 1 work day86%Half by now
Maintain talent files that include information such as performers' specialties, past performances, and availability.Done daily by most who do it. 8%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h99%Half by now
Audition and interview performers to match their attributes to specific roles or to increase the pool of available acting talent.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 8%1.3 h38 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Select performers for roles or submit lists of suitable performers to producers or directors for final selection.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%1.7 h25 min to 4.2 h97%Half by now
Serve as liaisons between directors, actors, and agents.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%50 min25 min to 1.7 h100%Half by now
Review performer information, such as photos, resumes, voice tapes, videos, and union membership, to decide whom to audition for parts.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h99%Half by now
Negotiate contract agreements with performers, with agents, or between performers and agents or production companies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%2.1 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Prepare actors for auditions by providing scripts and information about roles and casting requirements.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%25 min13 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Contact agents and actors to provide notification of audition and performance opportunities and to set up audition times.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%38 min13 min to 1.7 h100%Half by now
Teach acting classes.Done more than yearly by most who do it.3%2.5 h1.3 h to 5 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Questions about this job

How much of the work of Talent Directors is within reach of AI now?
An estimated 59% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 61% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five. Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
Which tasks of Talent Directors come within reach first?
Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Arrange for or design screen tests or auditions for prospective performers (91% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028); Maintain talent files that include information such as performers' specialties, past performances, and availability (99% of the task's time now); and Select performers for roles or submit lists of suitable performers to producers or directors for final selection (97% of the task's time now).
Which tasks of Talent Directors stay with people?
Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Direct shows, productions, and plays; Audition and interview performers to match their attributes to specific roles or to increase the pool of available acting talent; and Negotiate contract agreements with performers, with agents, or between performers and agents or production companies. Together such tasks are about 39% of the working time.
Do people already use AI for the work of Talent Directors?
In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026, no reportable share went to this job's tasks. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 9%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
Can robots do the physical work of Talent Directors?
Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds almost none of the working time is physical work, so robots do not reach it.
How is this estimated?
From the 15 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.

How the estimates are made

This job in your state or metro area
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The page above is the occupation. Your job is your title and what you actually do: give both, and they are read against these tasks in your browser, nothing sent anywhere. The headline is free: how much of your working time is within reach now and by the end of 2028, and how many of the tasks your description names.

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