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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Producers and Directors

Produce or direct stage, television, radio, video, or film productions for entertainment, information, or instruction. Responsible for creative decisions, such as interpretation of script, choice of actors or guests, set design, sound, special effects, and choreography.

143,120 people do this job in the US. $90,360 a year.

now
23%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 74%
  • 13%
  • 13%
9%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
March 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 74% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 16%. Today's estimate: 23%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 4% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 16% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 23% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 30 tasks from .

TaskKind
Compose and edit scripts or provide screenwriters with story outlines from which scripts can be written.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.9%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028
Hire principal cast members and crew members, such as art directors, cinematographers, and costume designers.9%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1.3 work weeksStays with people
Cut and edit film or tape to integrate component parts into desired sequences.Done more than weekly by most who do it.9%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Arrange financing for productions.Done more than yearly by most who do it.7%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Jun 2028
Direct live broadcasts, films and recordings, or non-broadcast programming for public entertainment or education.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 6%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Research production topics using the internet, video archives, and other informational sources.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%1.7 h50 min to 5 h76%Half by now
Perform management activities, such as budgeting, scheduling, planning, and marketing.Done daily by most who do it. 5%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days32%Half by Jan 2027
Hold auditions for parts or negotiate contracts with actors determined suitable for specific roles.4%6.7 h3.3 h to 1.7 work days10%Half by Apr 2027
Write and edit news stories from information collected by reporters and other sources.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h65%Half by now
Plan details such as framing, composition, camera movement, sound, and actor movement for each shot or scene.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.3 h25 min to 4.2 h69%Half by now
Select plays, scripts, books, news content, or ideas to be produced.3%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Obtain rights to scripts or to such items as existing video footage.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 3%3.3 h50 min to 2.1 work days18%Half by Jul 2027

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.