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Petroleum Engineers

Devise methods to improve oil and gas extraction and production and determine the need for new or modified tool designs. Oversee drilling and offer technical advice.

18,060 people do this job in the US. $144,910 a year.

now
5%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 67%
  • 22%
  • 11%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
April 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 67% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 5%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 5% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 23 tasks from .

TaskKind
Direct and monitor the completion and evaluation of wells, well testing, or well surveys.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 11%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Simulate reservoir performance for different recovery techniques, using computer models.Done more than yearly by most who do it.11%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028
Design and implement environmental controls on oil and gas operations.Done more than yearly by most who do it.11%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028
Develop plans for oil and gas field drilling, and for product recovery and treatment.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028
Specify and supervise well modification and stimulation programs to maximize oil and gas recovery.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 11%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Analyze data to recommend placement of wells and supplementary processes to enhance production.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 9%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Evaluate findings to develop, design, or test equipment or processes.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Conduct engineering research experiments to improve or modify mining and oil machinery and operations.Done more than yearly by most who do it.5%4.2 work days6.7 h to 2.5 work weeksStays with people
Assess costs and estimate the production capabilities and economic value of oil and gas wells, to evaluate the economic viability of potential drilling sites.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Coordinate the installation, maintenance, and operation of mining and oil field equipment.Done more than yearly by most who do it.3%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Supervise the removal of drilling equipment, the removal of any waste, and the safe return of land to structural stability when wells or pockets are exhausted.Done more than yearly by most who do it.3%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Design or modify mining and oil field machinery and tools, applying engineering principles.Done more than monthly by most who do it.2%3.3 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Sep 2028

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).