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Geothermal Production Managers

Manage operations at geothermal power generation facilities. Maintain and monitor geothermal plant equipment for efficient and safe plant operations.

$126,060 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
12%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 74%
  • 1%
  • 24%
1%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
September 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 74% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 9%. Today's estimate: 13%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 9% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 13% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 17 tasks from .

TaskKind
Develop operating plans and schedules for geothermal operations.Done daily by most who do it. 15%1.3 work days3.3 h to 2.5 work days3%Half by Sep 2027
Develop or manage budgets for geothermal operations.Done daily by most who do it. 15%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Oversee geothermal plant operations, maintenance, and repairs to ensure compliance with applicable standards or regulations.Done daily by most who do it. 12%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 h32%Half by Jan 2027
Identify opportunities to improve plant electrical equipment, controls, or process control methodologies.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 9%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Supervise employees in geothermal power plants or well fields.Done daily by most who do it. 9%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Identify and evaluate equipment, procedural, or conditional inefficiencies involving geothermal plant systems.Done daily by most who do it. 7%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work days21%Half by May 2027
Select and implement corrosion control or mitigation systems for geothermal plants.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 6%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Apr 2028
Conduct well field site assessments.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%6.7 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Inspect geothermal plant or injection well fields to verify proper equipment operations.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Perform or direct the performance of preventative maintenance on geothermal plant equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 7.5 hStays with people
Monitor geothermal operations, using programmable logic controllers.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Prepare environmental permit applications or compliance reports.Done more than yearly by most who do it.2%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1 work week0%Half by Feb 2028

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.