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Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

Set up, operate, or tend paper goods machines that perform a variety of functions, such as converting, sawing, corrugating, banding, wrapping, boxing, stitching, forming, or sealing paper or paperboard sheets into products.

96,130 people do this job in the US. $50,270 a year.

now
0%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 0%
  • 0%
  • 100%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
No desk work

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 0% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 14 tasks from .

TaskKind
Disassemble machines to maintain, repair, or replace broken or worn parts, using hand or power tools.Done daily by most who do it. 16%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Install attachments to machines for gluing, folding, printing, or cutting.Done several times a day by most who do it.15%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Examine completed work to detect defects and verify conformance to work orders, and adjust machinery as necessary to correct production problems.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 13%13 min7 min to 38 minStays with people
Observe operation of various machines to detect and correct machine malfunctions such as improper forming, glue flow, or pasteboard tension.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 9%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people
Adjust guide assemblies, forming bars, and folding mechanisms according to specifications, using hand tools.Done daily by most who do it.8%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Place rolls of paper or cardboard on machine feed tracks, and thread paper through gluing, coating, and slitting rollers.Done daily by most who do it.8%21 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Monitor finished cartons as they drop from forming machines into rotating hoppers and into gravity feed chutes to prevent jamming.Done hourly or more by most who do it.6%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people
Measure, space, and set saw blades, cutters, and perforators, according to product specifications.Done daily by most who do it.5%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Start machines and move controls to regulate tension on pressure rolls, to synchronize speed of machine components, and to adjust temperatures of glue or paraffin.Done daily by most who do it. 5%17 min8 min to 33 minStays with people
Stamp products with information such as dates, using hand stamps or automatic stamping devices.Done hourly or more by most who do it.4%8 min3 min to 17 minStays with people
Remove finished cores, and stack or place them on conveyors for transfer to other work areas.Done daily by most who do it.3%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Cut products to specified dimensions, using hand or power cutters.Done hourly or more by most who do it.3%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).