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Molecular and Cellular Biologists

Research and study cellular molecules and organelles to understand cell function and organization.

$98,920 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
5%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 40%
  • 7%
  • 53%
25%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
December 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 40% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 5%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 5% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 22 tasks from .

TaskKind
Design molecular or cellular laboratory experiments, oversee their execution, and interpret results.Done daily by most who do it. 12%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Conduct research on cell organization and function, including mechanisms of gene expression, cellular bioinformatics, cell signaling, or cell differentiation.Done daily by most who do it. 12%1.7 work weeks2.1 work days to 3.5 work weeksStays with people
Conduct applied research aimed at improvements in areas such as disease testing, crop quality, pharmaceuticals, and the harnessing of microbes to recycle waste.Done yearly or less by most who do it. AI observed on this task.12%1.7 work weeks1.7 work days to 1.5 work monthsStays with people
Participate in all levels of bioproduct development, including proposing new products, performing market analyses, designing and performing experiments, and collaborating with operations and quality control teams during product launches.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.12%1.7 work weeks1.7 work days to 1.9 work monthsStays with people
Develop assays that monitor cell characteristics.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 10%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeksStays with people
Write grant applications to obtain funding.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%1.7 work weeks4.2 work days to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Dec 2028
Perform laboratory procedures following protocols including deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) sequencing, cloning and extraction, ribonucleic acid (RNA) purification, or gel electrophoresis.Done daily by most who do it. 6%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Compile and analyze molecular or cellular experimental data and adjust experimental designs as necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 5%6.7 h2.5 h to 1.7 work days10%Half by May 2027
Provide scientific direction for project teams regarding the evaluation or handling of devices, drugs, or cells for in vitro and in vivo disease models.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h1.7 h to 1 work day43%Half by Oct 2026
Prepare or review reports, manuscripts, or meeting presentations.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028
Instruct undergraduate and graduate students within the areas of cellular or molecular biology.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Develop guidelines for procedures such as the management of viruses.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 3%1 work day3.3 h to 3.1 work days6%Half by Sep 2027

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.