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Human Resources Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate human resources activities and staff of an organization.

220,660 people do this job in the US. $149,280 a year.

now
16%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 70%
  • 29%
  • 1%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
June 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 70% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 11%. Today's estimate: 16%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 11% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 16% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 26 tasks from .

TaskKind
Plan, direct, supervise, and coordinate work activities of subordinates and staff relating to employment, compensation, labor relations, and employee relations.Done daily by most who do it. 19%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Administer compensation, benefits, and performance management systems, and safety and recreation programs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 9%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Develop, administer, and evaluate applicant tests.Done more than yearly by most who do it.7%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Plan, organize, direct, control, or coordinate the personnel, training, or labor relations activities of an organization.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 7%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Serve as a link between management and employees by handling questions, interpreting and administering contracts and helping resolve work-related problems.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Identify staff vacancies and recruit, interview, and select applicants.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Perform difficult staffing duties, including dealing with understaffing, refereeing disputes, firing employees, and administering disciplinary procedures.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%2.5 h50 min to 1 work day40%Half by Dec 2026
Analyze statistical data and reports to identify and determine causes of personnel problems and develop recommendations for improvement of organization's personnel policies and practices.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%6.7 h2.5 h to 2.5 work days9%Half by Jul 2027
Analyze and modify compensation and benefits policies to establish competitive programs and ensure compliance with legal requirements.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Develop or administer special projects in areas such as pay equity, savings bond programs, day care, and employee awards.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeks1%Half by Jul 2028
Analyze training needs to design employee development, language training, and health and safety programs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Advise managers on organizational policy matters, such as equal employment opportunity and sexual harassment, and recommend needed changes.Done daily by most who do it. 3%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).