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Glass Blowers, Molders, Benders, and Finishers

Shape molten glass according to patterns.

$46,170 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
17%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 29%
  • 0%
  • 71%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 29% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 12%. Today's estimate: 18%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 4% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 6% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 12% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 18% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Design and create glass objects, using blowpipes and artisans' hand tools and equipment.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 31%1.7 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Develop sketches of glass products into blueprint specifications, applying knowledge of glass technology and glass blowing.Done daily by most who do it. 22%3.3 h1.7 h to 6.7 h49%Half by now
Blow tubing into specified shapes to prevent glass from collapsing, using compressed air or own breath, or blow and rotate gathers in molds or on boards to obtain final shapes.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%21 min10 min to 50 minStays with people
Shape, bend, or join sections of glass, using paddles, pressing and flattening hand tools, or cork.Done several times a day by most who do it. 7%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Heat glass to pliable stage, using gas flames or ovens and rotating glass to heat it uniformly.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 6%13 min7 min to 21 minStays with people
Determine types and quantities of glass required to fabricate products.Done daily by most who do it. 6%25 min13 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Operate and maintain finishing machines to grind, drill, sand, bevel, decorate, wash, or polish glass or glass products.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Inspect, weigh, and measure products to verify conformance to specifications, using instruments such as micrometers, calipers, magnifiers, or rulers.Done several times a day by most who do it. 3%13 min7 min to 21 minStays with people
Cut lengths of tubing to specified sizes, using files or cutting wheels.Done daily by most who do it. 3%8 min4 min to 13 minStays with people
Operate electric kilns that heat and mold glass sheets to the shape and curve of metal jigs.Done daily by most who do it. 2%33 min17 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Record manufacturing information, such as quantities, sizes, or types of goods produced.Done daily by most who do it. 1.0%8 min4 min to 17 min100%Half by now
Place rubber hoses on ends of tubing and charge tubing with gas.Done more than monthly by most who do it.0.8%8 min4 min to 17 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.