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Fence Erectors

Erect and repair fences and fence gates, using hand and power tools.

24,480 people do this job in the US. $47,980 a year.

now
0%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 0%
  • 4%
  • 96%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
No desk work

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 0% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Erect alternate panel, basket weave, and louvered fences.Done daily by most who do it. 14%3.3 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Blast rock formations and rocky areas with dynamite to facilitate posthole digging.Done several times a day by most who do it.10%3.3 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Dig postholes, using spades, posthole diggers, or power-driven augers.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 9%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Establish the location for a fence, and gather information needed to ensure that there are no electric cables or water lines in the area.Done daily by most who do it. 7%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Construct and repair barriers, retaining walls, trellises, and other types of fences, walls, and gates.Done daily by most who do it. 7%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Measure and lay out fence lines and mark posthole positions, following instructions, drawings, or specifications.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%38 min21 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Nail pointed slats to rails to construct picket fences.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%50 min25 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Attach rails or tension wire along bottoms of posts to form fencing frames.Done daily by most who do it. 4%29 min17 min to 58 minStays with people
Set metal or wooden posts in upright positions in postholes.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Discuss fencing needs with customers, and estimate and quote prices.Done daily by most who do it. 4%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Weld metal parts together, using portable gas welding equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Assemble gates, and fasten gates into position, using hand tools.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%50 min25 min to 2.1 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).