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Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Set up, operate, or tend machines to extrude or draw thermoplastic or metal materials into tubes, rods, hoses, wire, bars, or structural shapes.

60,840 people do this job in the US. $47,720 a year.

now
19%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 20%
  • 0%
  • 80%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 20% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 19%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 5% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 8% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 8% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 11% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 18% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 19% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 16 tasks from .

TaskKind
Test physical properties of products with testing devices such as acid-bath testers, burst testers, and impact testers.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 11%38 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Change dies on extruding machines, according to production line changes.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 11%1.1 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Install dies, machine screws, and sizing rings on machines that extrude thermoplastic or metal materials.Done daily by most who do it. 10%1.1 h25 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Maintain an inventory of materials.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%38 min13 min to 1.3 h98%Half by now
Determine setup procedures and select machine dies and parts, according to specifications.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%50 min17 min to 1.7 h96%Half by now
Measure and examine extruded products to locate defects and to check for conformance to specifications, adjusting controls as necessary to alter products.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 8%17 min8 min to 33 minStays with people
Reel extruded products into rolls of specified lengths and weights.Done hourly or more by most who do it.7%29 min13 min to 58 minStays with people
Start machines and set controls to regulate vacuum, air pressure, sizing rings, and temperature, and to synchronize speed of extrusion.Done daily by most who do it. 5%33 min17 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Replace worn dies when products vary from specifications.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%1.1 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Troubleshoot, maintain, and make minor repairs to equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 5%38 min13 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Adjust controls to draw or press metal into specified shapes and diameters.Done daily by most who do it. 5%21 min8 min to 42 minStays with people
Clean work areas.Done daily by most who do it. 5%17 min8 min to 50 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.