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Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health

Conduct research or perform investigation for the purpose of identifying, abating, or eliminating sources of pollutants or hazards that affect either the environment or public health. Using knowledge of various scientific disciplines, may collect, synthesize, study, report, and recommend action based on data derived from measurements or observations of air, food, soil, water, and other sources.

89,250 people do this job in the US. $82,220 a year.

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 84%
  • 6%
  • 9%
5%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
June 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 84% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 3%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 3% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 22 tasks from .

TaskKind
Conduct applied research on environmental topics, such as waste control or treatment or pollution abatement methods.Done more than monthly by most who do it.13%1.7 work weeks1.7 work days to 1.2 work months0%Half by Aug 2029
Monitor effects of pollution or land degradation and recommend means of prevention or control.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Research sources of pollution to determine their effects on the environment and to develop theories or methods of pollution abatement or control.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 10%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Provide advice on proper standards and regulations or the development of policies, strategies, or codes of practice for environmental management.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 7%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028
Review and implement environmental technical standards, guidelines, policies, and formal regulations that meet all appropriate requirements.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work days6%Half by Jan 2028
Communicate scientific or technical information to the public, organizations, or internal audiences through oral briefings, written documents, workshops, conferences, training sessions, or public hearings.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work days21%Half by May 2027
Analyze data to determine validity, quality, and scientific significance and to interpret correlations between human activities and environmental effects.Done more than weekly by most who do it.6%1.3 work days2.5 h to 4.2 work days3%Half by Feb 2028
Design or direct studies to obtain technical environmental information about planned projects.Done more than weekly by most who do it.5%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeksStays with people
Develop methods to minimize the impact of production processes on the environment, based on the study and assessment of industrial production, environmental legislation, and physical, biological, and social environments.Done more than monthly by most who do it.4%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Collect, synthesize, analyze, manage, and report environmental data, such as pollution emission measurements, atmospheric monitoring measurements, meteorological or mineralogical information, or soil or water samples.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%6.7 h3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Monitor environmental impacts of development activities.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days2%Half by Feb 2028
Conduct environmental audits or inspections or investigations of violations.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.