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Elevator and Escalator Installers and Repairers

Assemble, install, repair, or maintain electric or hydraulic freight or passenger elevators, escalators, or dumbwaiters.

23,790 people do this job in the US. $109,910 a year.

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 5%
  • 0%
  • 95%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 5% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 4%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 4% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Assemble, install, repair, and maintain elevators, escalators, moving sidewalks, and dumbwaiters, using hand and power tools, and testing devices such as test lamps, ammeters, and voltmeters.Done daily by most who do it. 16%1.5 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Assemble electrically powered stairs, steel frameworks, and tracks, and install associated motors and electrical wiring.Done yearly or less by most who do it.16%2.1 work days6.7 h to 1 work weekStays with people
Disassemble defective units, and repair or replace parts such as locks, gears, cables, and electric wiring.Done daily by most who do it. 14%4.2 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Inspect wiring connections, control panel hookups, door installations, and alignments and clearances of cars and hoistways to ensure that equipment will operate properly.Done daily by most who do it. 10%2.5 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Adjust safety controls, counterweights, door mechanisms, and components such as valves, ratchets, seals, and brake linings.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 7%2.1 h38 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Install electrical wires and controls by attaching conduit along shaft walls from floor to floor and pulling plastic-covered wires through the conduit.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%1 work day3.3 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Check that safety regulations and building codes are met, and complete service reports verifying conformance to standards.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%1.7 h38 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Locate malfunctions in brakes, motors, switches, and signal and control systems, using test equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%2.1 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Assemble elevator cars, installing each car's platform, walls, and doors.Done more than yearly by most who do it.3%1.3 work days3.3 h to 3.1 work daysStays with people
Connect electrical wiring to control panels and electric motors.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Read and interpret blueprints to determine the layout of system components, frameworks, and foundations, and to select installation equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 2%50 min25 min to 2.5 h95%Half by now
Attach guide shoes and rollers to minimize the lateral motion of cars as they travel through shafts.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%2.5 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.