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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN

Airfield Operations Specialists

In short: today's best AI models could do about 28% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about 33% by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 67% of the time, stays with people.

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Ensure the safe takeoff and landing of commercial and military aircraft. Duties include coordination between air-traffic control and maintenance personnel, dispatching, using airfield landing and navigational aids, implementing airfield safety procedures, monitoring and maintaining flight records, and applying knowledge of weather information.

15,190 people do this job in the US. $56,850 a year.

A typical 40-hour week

Not yet reviewed task by task
  • AI could take on11 h
  • A person checks AI's work0 h
  • Desk work AI can't do yet2 h
  • Stays with people27 h

Airfield Operations Specialists, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 11 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 2 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 27 hours stay with people.

The largest pieces: Plan and coordinate airfield construction (about 2 h); Initiate or conduct airport-wide coordination of snow removal on runways and taxiways (about 2 h); Coordinate with agencies to meet aircrew requirements for billeting, messing, refueling, ground transportation, and transient aircraft maintenance (about 1 h).

Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.

now
28%

of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

Kinds of work
  • 33%
  • 9%
  • 58%
5%

of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 33% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030
Change assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 28%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 7% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 10% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 12% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 18% within reachToday (estimate), November 2026: 28% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Measured use over time

Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, no reportable share went to this job's tasks in May 2026; 0 of its 27 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.01% to 0.013% (released February and March 2025); 0.021% to 0.027% (August 2025 to February 2026).

0%0.025%0.05%20252026released February 2025: 0.01%released March 2025: 0.013%the week of Aug 4, 2025: 0.021%the week of Nov 13, 2025: 0.026%the week of Feb 5, 2026: 0.027%April 2026: noneMay 2026: none
Each dot is one release's sample. A line joins releases made by the same method; a change of method starts a new line. Point at a dot for its window.
Each release
ConversationsShareRankTasks seen
Released February 20250.01%531 of 7082 of 27
Released March 20250.013%477 of 7033 of 27
The week of Aug 4, 20250.021%359 of 6553 of 27
The week of Nov 13, 20250.026%353 of 6724 of 27
The week of Feb 5, 20260.027%357 of 6773 of 27
April 2026nonen/a0 of 27
May 2026nonen/a0 of 27

Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.

Robots and the physical work

Anthropic rates 34% of this job's working time as physical work. For 12% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 7% in a purpose-built cell, 5% in a structured facility. 0.17 of 3, the 466th highest of the 923 jobs.

  • Not physical 66%
  • No robot shown 22%
  • In a purpose-built cell 7%
  • In a structured facility 5%

Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.

The tasks

Sorted by . 27 tasks from .

TaskKind
Perform and supervise airfield management activities, including mobile airfield management functions.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.14%2.1 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Plan and coordinate airfield construction.Done daily by most who do it. 11%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days55%Half by now
Conduct inspections of the airport property and perimeter to maintain controlled access to airfields.Done several times a day by most who do it. Robots: in a structured facility, Teksbotics/UISEE Autonomous Patrol Car (APC) (deployed). Anthropic's rating.11%1.3 h38 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Implement airfield safety procedures to ensure a safe operating environment for personnel and aircraft operation.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Teksbotics Autonomous Patrol Car (with UISEE) (deployed). Anthropic's rating.10%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Inspect airfield conditions to ensure compliance with federal regulatory requirements.Done several times a day by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.9%1.3 h38 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Train operations staff.Done daily by most who do it. 7%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Monitor the arrival, parking, refueling, loading, and departure of all aircraft.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Manage wildlife on and around airport grounds.Done several times a day by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.6%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Initiate or conduct airport-wide coordination of snow removal on runways and taxiways.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 6%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h96%Half by now
Coordinate with agencies to meet aircrew requirements for billeting, messing, refueling, ground transportation, and transient aircraft maintenance.Done daily by most who do it.3%50 min17 min to 1.7 h100%Half by now
Assist in responding to aircraft and medical emergencies.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.2%50 min25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Procure, produce, and provide information on the safe operation of aircraft, such as flight planning publications, operations publications, charts and maps, or weather information.Done daily by most who do it.2%50 min25 min to 1.7 h100%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).

Questions about this job

How much of the work of Airfield Operations Specialists is within reach of AI now?
An estimated 28% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 33% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five. Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
Which tasks of Airfield Operations Specialists come within reach first?
Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Plan and coordinate airfield construction (55% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028); Initiate or conduct airport-wide coordination of snow removal on runways and taxiways (96% of the task's time now); and Coordinate with agencies to meet aircrew requirements for billeting, messing, refueling, ground transportation, and transient aircraft maintenance (100% of the task's time now).
Which tasks of Airfield Operations Specialists stay with people?
Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Perform and supervise airfield management activities, including mobile airfield management functions; Conduct inspections of the airport property and perimeter to maintain controlled access to airfields; and Implement airfield safety procedures to ensure a safe operating environment for personnel and aircraft operation. Together such tasks are about 67% of the working time.
Do people already use AI for the work of Airfield Operations Specialists?
In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026, no reportable share went to this job's tasks. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 5%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
Can robots do the physical work of Airfield Operations Specialists?
Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds 34% of the working time is physical work, and that a robot has been shown doing most of the task, somewhere, for 12% of the working time, 5% in a structured facility. Its index is 0.17 of 3. One example: Teksbotics/UISEE Autonomous Patrol Car (APC) for "conduct inspections of the airport property and perimeter to maintain controlled access to airfields". A robot shown somewhere is not one in every workplace; this site's own estimates still count no physical work as within reach.
How is this estimated?
From the 27 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.

How the estimates are made

This job in your state or metro area
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