Sector, 53
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
2,427,950 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $66,320 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
a year: 1.7 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 39%
- 24%
- 37%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 25% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 30% within reach now and 36% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
What handing the work over would take
For the 2,294,351 people in jobs so far, 95% of the industry's people; the others are in the totals above and join this split as the review reaches their jobs. Shares of their working time within reach now, at the pace and reliability chosen above. Estimates. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
about 1 billion hours a year. The material can be handed to a model and the result handed back.
about 575 million hours a year. The model has to be connected to the system the work lives in.
about 578 million hours a year. Short enough by length. This site leaves conversation with people, so it is not in the totals.
What their work is made of
- 26%
- 13%
- 13%
- 12%
- 36%
Each task's time split among five kinds of doing, judged one task at a time; only documents and systems can count as within reach.
What changes for the people
For the 2,294,351 people in jobs reviewed task by task so far, by the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five: the shares of their working time, from each job page's own map, weighted by how many people here do that job. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job. Estimates.
Conversation, in-person and hands-on work.
Desk work within reach in tasks where a mistake costs something or a licensed person signs.
Desk work within reach that is small if wrong, with lighter checks.
What most people here would learn first
How many of them have each skill among the first two things to learn on their job's page. Every state, and the US
- Reviewing work you did not do yourself953,998 (42%)
- The hands-on craft876,068 (38%)
- The conversations723,015 (32%)
- Judgment where errors are severe607,177 (26%)
- Briefing a model and checking its drafts576,234 (25%)
- Running AI inside the business systems301,760 (13%)
- Dealing with people outside the organization232,160 (10%)
- Signing off under your license168,320 (7%)
- Handling protected records6,050 (under 1%)
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 34%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 37% of the working time of the people in this industry as physical work. For 24% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 16% in a purpose-built cell, 7% in a structured facility, 1% in any setting. 0.33 of 3.
- Not physical 63%
- No robot shown 14%
- In a purpose-built cell 16%
- In a structured facility 7%
- In any setting 1%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. Weighted by the people in each occupation; each job's page names the robot behind each rated task.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index. The 40 largest jobs hold 85% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers | 253,210 | 41% | 213 million | $64K |
| Real Estate Sales Agents | 157,840 | 40% | 130 million | $50K |
| Office Clerks, General | 96,550 | 56% | 113 million | $44K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 58,010 | 88% | 106 million | $52K |
| General and Operations Managers | 105,570 | 45% | 99 million | $101K |
| Counter and Rental Clerks | 178,860 | 23% | 84 million | $40K |
| Maintenance and Repair Workers, General | 323,560 | 11% | 77 million | $48K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 57,030 | 59% | 70 million | $47K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers | 58,520 | 47% | 57 million | $70K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 42,370 | 64% | 57 million | $42K |
| Accountants and Auditors | 50,900 | 45% | 48 million | $86K |
| Real Estate Brokers | 41,130 | 44% | 37 million | $73K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 256 smaller jobs (360,650 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Design new equipment to aid in the repair or maintenance of machines, mechanical equipment, or building structures.Maintenance and Repair Workers, General49 million hours70% of the task within reach
- Manage and oversee operations, maintenance, administration, and improvement of commercial, industrial, or residential properties.Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers42 million hours30% of the task within reach
- Direct collection of monthly assessments, rental fees, and deposits and payment of insurance premiums, mortgage, taxes, and incurred operating expenses.Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers40 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Solicit and analyze bids from contractors for repairs, renovations, and maintenance.Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers37 million hours70% of the task within reach
- Promote sales of properties through advertisements, open houses, and participation in multiple listing services.Real Estate Sales Agents34 million hours70% of the task within reach
- Plan, schedule, and coordinate general maintenance, major repairs, and remodeling or construction projects for commercial or residential properties.Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers26 million hours40% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General24 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep records of transactions and of the number of customers entering an establishment.Counter and Rental Clerks23 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compare a property with similar properties that have recently sold to determine its competitive market price.Real Estate Sales Agents21 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare rental forms, obtaining customer signature and other information, such as required licenses.Counter and Rental Clerks21 million hours70% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have. Or choose the whole industry: every occupation BLS publishes for it with task data, at its nationwide headcount, the sector report ($249 for the full report, or included in Pro).
Inside this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works
Questions about this industry
- How much of the work in Real Estate and Rental and Leasing is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 34% of the paid hours in Real Estate and Rental and Leasing are within reach of AI models now and 39% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (38% to 39% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which jobs in Real Estate and Rental and Leasing carry the most hours within reach?
- By hours within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index): Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers (253,210 people, 41% of their time, about 213 million hours a year); Real Estate Sales Agents (157,840 people, 40% of their time, about 130 million hours a year); and Office Clerks, General (96,550 people, 56% of their time, about 113 million hours a year).
- Which tasks in Real Estate and Rental and Leasing carry the most hours within reach by the end of 2028?
- Design new equipment to aid in the repair or maintenance of machines, mechanical equipment, or building structures (Maintenance and Repair Workers, General, about 49 million hours a year); Manage and oversee operations, maintenance, administration, and improvement of commercial, industrial, or residential properties (Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers, about 42 million hours a year); and Direct collection of monthly assessments, rental fees, and deposits and payment of insurance premiums, mortgage, taxes, and incurred operating expenses (Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers, about 40 million hours a year).
- What would people working in Real Estate and Rental and Leasing learn first?
- Among the 2,294,351 people in jobs reviewed task by task, the skills most often among the first two things to learn on their job's page are reviewing work you did not do yourself (953,998 people); the hands-on craft (876,068 people); and the conversations (723,015 people). By the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five, about 61% of their working time stays with people, 29% becomes checking a model's work and 9% can be handed over with lighter checks. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job.
- How is this estimated?
- BLS counts the people in each occupation in Real Estate and Rental and Leasing (May 2025); each occupation's share of working time within reach comes from its O*NET tasks, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. The industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Task data covers 98% of its people, and 95% are in occupations reviewed task by task. Data checked November 10, 2026.
Embed these figures on your site
A small card with the share of working time within reach now and at the end of 2027, 2028 and 2030, the date and a link back. Free under CC BY 4.0; the card carries the credit.