Sector, 53
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
2,427,950 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $66,320 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 1.4 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 45%
- 11%
- 44%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 3%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 24%. Today's estimate: 28%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 85% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter and Rental Clerks | 178,860 | 53% | 198 million | $40K |
| Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers | 253,210 | 32% | 166 million | $64K |
| Office Clerks, General | 96,550 | 58% | 117 million | $44K |
| Real Estate Sales Agents | 157,840 | 33% | 110 million | $50K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 58,010 | 76% | 92 million | $52K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 42,370 | 67% | 59 million | $42K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 26,950 | 83% | 46 million | $41K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 57,030 | 39% | 46 million | $47K |
| General and Operations Managers | 105,570 | 19% | 41 million | $101K |
| Maintenance and Repair Workers, General | 323,560 | 5% | 35 million | $48K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers | 58,520 | 27% | 33 million | $70K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 22,710 | 69% | 32 million | $71K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 256 smaller jobs (360,650 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Manage and oversee operations, maintenance, administration, and improvement of commercial, industrial, or residential properties.Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers140 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Design new equipment to aid in the repair or maintenance of machines, mechanical equipment, or building structures.Maintenance and Repair Workers, General70 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, schedule, and coordinate general maintenance, major repairs, and remodeling or construction projects for commercial or residential properties.Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers65 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare rental forms, obtaining customer signature and other information, such as required licenses.Counter and Rental Clerks29 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Receive orders for services, such as rentals, repairs, dry cleaning, and storage.Counter and Rental Clerks25 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute charges for merchandise or services and receive payments.Counter and Rental Clerks25 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Answer telephones to provide information and receive orders.Counter and Rental Clerks25 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General24 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Recommend and provide advice on a wide variety of products and services.Counter and Rental Clerks24 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep records of transactions and of the number of customers entering an establishment.Counter and Rental Clerks23 million hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Inside this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works