Metro area, Missouri
Joplin, MO-KS
87,190 people work in this area, at mean pay of $53,370 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 34 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 31%
- 16%
- 53%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 57% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 1,460 | 54% | 1.6 million | $38K |
| Registered Nurses | 2,670 | 28% | 1.5 million | $75K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,080 | 64% | 1.4 million | $42K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 2,620 | 19% | 1 million | $35K |
| Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers | 3,470 | 14% | 988,811 | $47K |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,420 | 19% | 976,519 | $31K |
| Cashiers | 2,400 | 19% | 923,520 | $29K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 990 | 43% | 877,221 | $39K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 530 | 78% | 855,463 | $45K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 620 | 53% | 682,198 | $42K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 1,100 | 30% | 681,825 | $49K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 510 | 59% | 623,751 | $34K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 284 smaller jobs (33,200 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 89% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses447,351 hours60% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General365,691 hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers352,884 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses306,226 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain logs of working hours or of vehicle service or repair status, following applicable state and federal regulations.Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers295,561 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons293,232 hours50% of the task within reach
- Compile and maintain non-monetary reports and records.Cashiers251,447 hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives244,431 hours100% of the task within reach
- Record numbers of units handled or moved, using daily production sheets or work tickets.Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand239,556 hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives225,449 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Missouri
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- St. Louis, MO-IL1,341,320 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- Kansas City, MO-KS1,096,110 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- Springfield, MO223,030 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Southeast Missouri nonmetropolitan area164,560 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- Central Missouri nonmetropolitan area154,880 people20% now, 30% by 2028
- Columbia, MO107,680 people23% now, 37% by 2028
- North Missouri nonmetropolitan area106,300 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- Jefferson City, MO80,220 people23% now, 38% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works