Weatherization Installers and Technicians
In short: today's best AI models could do about 21% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about the same by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 79% of the time, stays with people.
Perform a variety of activities to weatherize homes and make them more energy efficient. Duties include repairing windows, insulating ducts, and performing heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) work. May perform energy audits and advise clients on energy conservation measures.
$49,910 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).
A typical 40-hour week
Not yet reviewed task by task- AI could take on9 h
- A person checks AI's work0 h
- Desk work AI can't do yet0 h
- Stays with people31 h
Weatherization Installers and Technicians, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 9 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 0 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 31 hours stay with people.
The largest pieces: Prepare or assist in the preparation of bids, contracts, or written reports related to weatherization work (about 3 h); Prepare cost estimates or specifications for rehabilitation or weatherization services (about 1 h); Recommend weatherization techniques to clients in accordance with needs and applicable energy regulations, codes, policies, or statutes (about 1 h).
Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.
of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
- 21%
- 0%
- 79%
Anthropic's data does not cover this job.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Measured use over time
Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, 0.011% went to this job's tasks in May 2026, the 416th largest of the 447 jobs that showed up at all; 1 of its 20 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.017% to 0.0052% (released February and March 2025); 0.0045% to 0.0097% (August 2025 to February 2026); none to 0.011% (April to May 2026).
Each release
| Conversations | Share | Rank | Tasks seen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Released February 2025 | 0.017% | 463 of 708 | 1 of 20 |
| Released March 2025 | 0.0052% | 575 of 703 | 1 of 20 |
| The week of Aug 4, 2025 (released September 2025) | 0.0045% | 546 of 655 | 2 of 20 |
| The week of Nov 13, 2025 (released January 2026) | 0.0081% | 510 of 672 | 3 of 20 |
| The week of Feb 5, 2026 (released March 2026) | 0.0097% | 502 of 677 | 3 of 20 |
| April 2026 (released June 2026) | none | n/a | 0 of 20 |
| May 2026 (released June 2026) | 0.011% | 416 of 447 | 1 of 20 |
Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 81% of this job's working time as physical work. For 51% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 51% in a purpose-built cell. 0.51 of 3, the 312th highest of the 923 jobs.
- Not physical 19%
- No robot shown 30%
- In a purpose-built cell 51%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.
The tasks
Sorted by . 20 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apply insulation materials, such as loose, blanket, board, and foam insulation to attics, crawl spaces, basements, or walls.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Randek ZeroLabor Robotic Insulation System (sold). Anthropic's rating. | 15% | 4.2 h1.7 h to 6.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Install and seal air ducts, combustion air openings, or ventilation openings to improve heating and cooling efficiency.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, FANUC dispensing/sealing robots and cobots (seam sealer dispensing) (sold). Anthropic's rating. | 15% | 2.5 h50 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Prepare and apply weather-stripping, glazing, caulking, or door sweeps to reduce energy losses.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Erdman 2000/3000 Series Automated Glazer (sold). Anthropic's rating. | 9% | 1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Prepare or assist in the preparation of bids, contracts, or written reports related to weatherization work.Done daily by most who do it. | 7% | 1.7 h50 min to 2.5 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Make minor repairs using basic hand or power tools and materials, such as glass, lumber, and drywall.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 6% | 50 min25 min to 2.5 h | Stays with people | |
| Determine amount of air leakage in buildings, using a blower door machine.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, TEC Minneapolis Blower Door (Model 3 / DG-1000 gauge) with TECTITE Express 5.0 (The Energy Conservatory) (sold). Anthropic's rating. | 6% | 50 min38 min to 1.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Test and diagnose air flow systems, using furnace efficiency analysis equipment.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 6% | 1.3 h38 min to 1.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Inspect buildings to identify required weatherization measures, including repair work, modification, or replacement.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 6% | 1.7 h50 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Test combustible appliances, such as gas appliances.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 4% | 38 min25 min to 1.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Wrap air ducts and water lines with insulating materials, such as duct wrap and pipe insulation.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Piton Flexible Duct Insulation and Packing Machine (sold). Anthropic's rating. | 4% | 1.3 h38 min to 2.5 h | Stays with people | |
| Prepare cost estimates or specifications for rehabilitation or weatherization services.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 3% | 1.3 h38 min to 2.1 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Apply spackling, compounding, or other materials to repair holes in walls.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating. | 3% | 38 min25 min to 1.3 h | Stays with people |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall2% now, 2% by 2028
- Insulation Workers, Mechanical19% now, 19% by 2028
- Solar Thermal Installers and Technicians16% now, 17% by 2028
- Maintenance and Repair Workers, General11% now, 13% by 2028
- Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters23% now, 23% by 2028
- Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers9% now, 9% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Questions about this job
- How much of the work of Weatherization Installers and Technicians is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 21% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 21% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five. Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which tasks of Weatherization Installers and Technicians come within reach first?
- Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Prepare or assist in the preparation of bids, contracts, or written reports related to weatherization work (100% of the task's time now); Prepare cost estimates or specifications for rehabilitation or weatherization services (100% of the task's time now); and Recommend weatherization techniques to clients in accordance with needs and applicable energy regulations, codes, policies, or statutes (100% of the task's time now).
- Which tasks of Weatherization Installers and Technicians stay with people?
- Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Apply insulation materials, such as loose, blanket, board, and foam insulation to attics, crawl spaces, basements, or walls; Install and seal air ducts, combustion air openings, or ventilation openings to improve heating and cooling efficiency; and Prepare and apply weather-stripping, glazing, caulking, or door sweeps to reduce energy losses. Together such tasks are about 79% of the working time.
- Do people already use AI for the work of Weatherization Installers and Technicians?
- In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026 and tied to a work task, 0.011% went to this job's tasks, the 416th largest share of the 447 jobs that showed up; 1 of its 20 tasks appeared. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
- Can robots do the physical work of Weatherization Installers and Technicians?
- Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds 81% of the working time is physical work, and that a robot has been shown doing most of the task, somewhere, for 51% of the working time. Its index is 0.51 of 3. One example: Randek ZeroLabor Robotic Insulation System for "apply insulation materials, such as loose, blanket, board, and foam insulation to attics, crawl spaces, basements, or walls". A robot shown somewhere is not one in every workplace; this site's own estimates still count no physical work as within reach.
- How is this estimated?
- From the 20 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.
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