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Signal and Track Switch Repairers

Install, inspect, test, maintain, or repair electric gate crossings, signals, signal equipment, track switches, section lines, or intercommunications systems within a railroad system.

8,720 people do this job in the US. $92,460 a year.

now
4%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 4%
  • 0%
  • 96%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 4% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 4%. Today's estimate: 4%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 4% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 4% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 12 tasks from .

TaskKind
Install, inspect, maintain, and repair various railroad service equipment on the road or in the shop, including railroad signal systems.Done daily by most who do it. 40%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Inspect and test operation, mechanical parts, and circuitry of gate crossings, signals, and signal equipment such as interlocks and hotbox detectors.Done daily by most who do it. 11%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Test and repair track circuits.Done daily by most who do it. 9%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Drive motor vehicles to job sites.Done daily by most who do it. 9%29 min13 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Inspect electrical units of railroad grade crossing gates and repair loose bolts and defective electrical connections and parts.Done daily by most who do it. 7%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Tighten loose bolts, using wrenches, and test circuits and connections by opening and closing gates.Done daily by most who do it. 6%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Inspect, maintain, and replace batteries as needed.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Record and report information about mileage or track inspected, repairs performed, and equipment requiring replacement.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Inspect switch-controlling mechanisms on trolley wires and in track beds, using hand tools and test equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Replace defective wiring, broken lenses, or burned-out light bulbs.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%38 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Lubricate moving parts on gate-crossing mechanisms and swinging signals.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 1%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Clean lenses of lamps with cloths and solvents.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 0.7%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).