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Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas

Set up or operate a variety of drills to remove underground oil and gas, or remove core samples for testing during oil and gas exploration.

12,600 people do this job in the US. $67,890 a year.

now
5%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 5%
  • 20%
  • 75%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 5% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 5%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 5% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 21 tasks from .

TaskKind
Direct rig crews in drilling and other activities, such as setting up rigs and completing or servicing wells.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 20%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Train crews, and introduce procedures to make drill work more safe and effective.Done daily by most who do it. 20%5 h1.7 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Maintain and adjust machinery to ensure proper performance.Done daily by most who do it. 8%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Monitor progress of drilling operations, and select and change drill bits according to the nature of strata, using hand tools.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Maintain records of footage drilled, location and nature of strata penetrated, materials and tools used, services rendered, and time required.Done daily by most who do it. 5%38 min13 min to 1.3 h98%Half by now
Observe pressure gauge and move throttles and levers to control the speed of rotary tables, and to regulate pressure of tools at bottoms of boreholes.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Plug observation wells, and restore sites.Done yearly or less by most who do it.5%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Weigh clay, and mix with water and chemicals to make drilling mud.Done daily by most who do it. 4%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Connect sections of drill pipe, using hand tools and powered wrenches and tongs.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Repair or replace defective parts of machinery, such as rotary drill rigs, water trucks, air compressors, and pumps, using hand tools.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Push levers and brake pedals to control gasoline, diesel, electric, or steam draw works that lower and raise drill pipes and casings in and out of wells.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Line drilled holes with pipes, and install all necessary hardware, to prepare new wells.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).