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Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas

Rig derrick equipment and operate pumps to circulate mud or fluid through drill hole.

10,590 people do this job in the US. $58,620 a year.

now
7%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 7%
  • 0%
  • 93%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 7% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 7%. Today's estimate: 7%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 4% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 7% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 7% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Control the viscosity and weight of the drilling fluid.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 18%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Listen to mud pumps and check regularly for vibration and other problems to ensure that rig pumps and drilling mud systems are working properly.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 14%25 min13 min to 38 minStays with people
Supervise crew members, and provide assistance in training them.Done daily by most who do it. 14%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Weigh clay, and mix with water and chemicals to make drilling mud, using portable mixers.Done daily by most who do it. 11%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Prepare mud reports, and instruct crews about the handling of any chemical additives.Done daily by most who do it. 7%50 min25 min to 1.7 h99%Half by now
Repair pumps, mud tanks, and related equipment.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 7%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Inspect derricks for flaws, and clean and oil derricks to maintain proper working conditions.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.3 h38 min to 2.5 hStays with people
String cables through pulleys and blocks.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Steady pipes during connection to or disconnection from drill or casing strings.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Start pumps that circulate mud through drill pipes and boreholes to cool drill bits and flush out drill cuttings.Done daily by most who do it. 4%13 min8 min to 25 minStays with people
Position and align derrick elements, using harnesses and platform climbing devices.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Guide lengths of pipe into and out of elevators.Done daily by most who do it. 3%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).