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Roofers

Cover roofs of structures with shingles, slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, or related materials. May spray roofs, sidings, and walls with material to bind, seal, insulate, or soundproof sections of structures.

135,490 people do this job in the US. $55,440 a year.

now
2%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 2%
  • 0%
  • 98%
2%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 2% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 2%. Today's estimate: 2%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 2% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 2% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 25 tasks from .

TaskKind
Cover roofs or exterior walls of structures with slate, asphalt, aluminum, wood, gravel, gypsum, or related materials, using brushes, knives, punches, hammers, or other tools.Done daily by most who do it. 16%1 work day3.3 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Install vapor barriers or layers of insulation on flat roofs.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 9%5 h1.7 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Apply alternate layers of hot asphalt or tar and roofing paper to roofs.Done daily by most who do it.9%6.7 h3.3 h to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Waterproof or damp-proof walls, floors, roofs, foundations, or basements by painting or spraying surfaces with waterproof coatings or by attaching waterproofing membranes to surfaces.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 9%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Install partially overlapping layers of material over roof insulation surfaces, using chalk lines, gauges on shingling hatchets, or lines on shingles.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 7%5 h1.7 h to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Apply reflective roof coatings, such as special paints or single-ply roofing sheets, to existing roofs to reduce solar heat absorption.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 6%6.7 h3.3 h to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Install, repair, or replace single-ply roofing systems, using waterproof sheet materials such as modified plastics, elastomeric, or other asphaltic compositions.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%6.7 h2.5 h to 2.1 work daysStays with people
Apply plastic coatings, membranes, fiberglass, or felt over sloped roofs before applying shingles.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 6%3.3 h1.7 h to 5 hStays with people
Mop or pour hot asphalt or tar onto roof bases.Done more than weekly by most who do it.5%3.3 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Attach roofing paper to roofs in overlapping strips to form bases for other materials.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h1.7 h to 5 hStays with people
Install attic ventilation systems, such as turbine vents, gable or ridge vents, or conventional or solar-powered exhaust fans.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h1.7 h to 5 hStays with people
Set up scaffolding to provide safe access to roofs.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).