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Plasterers and Stucco Masons

Apply interior or exterior plaster, cement, stucco, or similar materials. May also set ornamental plaster.

19,310 people do this job in the US. $57,660 a year.

now
2%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 2%
  • 0%
  • 98%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 2% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 2%. Today's estimate: 2%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 2% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 2% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Apply insulation to building exteriors by installing prefabricated insulation systems over existing walls or by covering the outer wall with insulation board, reinforcing mesh, and a base coat.Done daily by most who do it.26%6.7 h3.3 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Apply coats of plaster or stucco to walls, ceilings, or partitions of buildings, using trowels, brushes, or spray guns.Done daily by most who do it. 19%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Apply weatherproof, decorative coverings to exterior surfaces of buildings, such as by troweling or spraying on coats of stucco.Done daily by most who do it.15%5 h2.5 h to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Create decorative textures in finish coat, using brushes or trowels, sand, pebbles, or stones.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Install guide wires on exterior surfaces of buildings to indicate thickness of plaster or stucco and nail wire mesh, lath, or similar materials to the outside surface to hold stucco in place.Done daily by most who do it.5%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Clean and prepare surfaces for applications of plaster, cement, stucco, or similar materials, such as by drywall taping.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Spray acoustic materials or texture finish over walls or ceilings.Done more than monthly by most who do it.5%2.5 h1.3 h to 5 hStays with people
Set up scaffolds.Done daily by most who do it.3%1.7 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Clean job sites.Done daily by most who do it. 3%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Cover surfaces such as windows, doors, or sidewalks to protect from splashing.Done daily by most who do it. 2%33 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Mold or install ornamental plaster pieces, panels, or trim.Done more than monthly by most who do it.2%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Determine materials needed to complete the job and place orders accordingly.Done daily by most who do it.2%38 min17 min to 1.3 h100%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).