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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN

Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons

In short: today's best AI models could do about 0% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about the same by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 100% of the time, stays with people.

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Help painters, paperhangers, plasterers, or stucco masons by performing duties requiring less skill. Duties include using, supplying, or holding materials or tools, and cleaning work area and equipment.

7,490 people do this job in the US. $40,470 a year.

A typical 40-hour week

Not yet reviewed task by task
  • AI could take on0 h
  • A person checks AI's work0 h
  • Desk work AI can't do yet0 h
  • Stays with people40 h

Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 0 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 0 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 40 hours stay with people.

Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.

now
0%

of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

Kinds of work
  • 0%
  • 0%
  • 100%
0%

of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.

Half the desk work within reach
No desk work

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 0% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030
Change assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), November 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Measured use over time

None of this job's 11 tasks showed up in the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled in any of its 7 releases, from February 2025 to May 2026.

Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.

Robots and the physical work

Anthropic rates 100% of this job's working time as physical work. For 73% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 68% in a purpose-built cell, 5% in a structured facility. 0.78 of 3, the 231st highest of the 923 jobs.

  • No robot shown 27%
  • In a purpose-built cell 68%
  • In a structured facility 5%

Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.

The tasks

Sorted by . 11 tasks from .

TaskKind
Perform support duties to assist painters, paperhangers, plasterers, or masons.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Active Taping Kit (ATK) on Aerobotix robotic coating cells (sold). Anthropic's rating.20%50 min13 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Erect scaffolding.Done yearly or less by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Kewazo LIFTBOT (deployed). Anthropic's rating.16%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Smooth surfaces of articles to be painted, using sanding and buffing tools and equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.15%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Clean work areas and equipment.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, FANUC Paint Mate parts washing system (Prime Test Automation) (sold). Anthropic's rating.13%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Supply or hold tools and materials.Done hourly or more by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Dürr EcoRP / SCARA opener (handling) robots in Ecopaint painting stations (sold). Anthropic's rating.12%17 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Fill cracks or breaks in surfaces of plaster articles or areas with putty or epoxy compounds.Done more than monthly by most who do it. Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Canvas 1200CX drywall finishing robot (UR10e cobot arm) (sold). Anthropic's rating.9%33 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Apply protective coverings, such as masking tape, to articles or areas that could be damaged or stained by work processes.Done daily by most who do it. Robots: no robot shown. Anthropic's rating.7%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Mix plaster, and carry plaster to plasterers.Done more than monthly by most who do it.Robots: in a structured facility, Knauf PFT G 4 mixing pump (with silo / SILOMAT feed) (deployed). Anthropic's rating.4%25 min13 min to 1.1 hStays with people
Remove articles such as cabinets, metal furniture, and paint containers from stripping tanks after prescribed periods of time.Done yearly or less by most who do it.Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Fastrip AP paint stripping system (ALIT Technologies SpA) (demonstrated). Anthropic's rating.2%17 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Place articles to be stripped into stripping tanks.Done yearly or less by most who do it.Robots: in a purpose-built cell, Automatic timber dipping tanks (Timber Treatment Solutions) (sold). Anthropic's rating.1%17 min4 min to 38 minStays with people
Pour specified amounts of chemical solutions into stripping tanks.Done more than monthly by most who do it.Robots: in a purpose-built cell, ABB Cellier High Viscosity Drum Decanting System (sold). Anthropic's rating.0.9%13 min8 min to 38 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).

Questions about this job

How much of the work of Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons is within reach of AI now?
An estimated 0% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 0% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five. Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
Which tasks of Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons come within reach first?
No task has a meaningful share of its time within reach now or by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five: the work is mostly people work and body work, which the site does not count.
Which tasks of Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons stay with people?
Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Perform support duties to assist painters, paperhangers, plasterers, or masons; Erect scaffolding; and Smooth surfaces of articles to be painted, using sanding and buffing tools and equipment. Together such tasks are about 100% of the working time.
Do people already use AI for the work of Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons?
In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026, no reportable share went to this job's tasks. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 0%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
Can robots do the physical work of Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons?
Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds 100% of the working time is physical work, and that a robot has been shown doing most of the task, somewhere, for 73% of the working time, 5% in a structured facility. Its index is 0.78 of 3. One example: Knauf PFT G 4 mixing pump (with silo / SILOMAT feed) for "mix plaster, and carry plaster to plasterers". A robot shown somewhere is not one in every workplace; this site's own estimates still count no physical work as within reach.
How is this estimated?
From the 11 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.

How the estimates are made

This job in your state or metro area
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