Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers
Plan, direct, or coordinate the management or operation of farms, ranches, greenhouses, aquacultural operations, nurseries, timber tracts, or other agricultural establishments. May hire, train, and supervise farm workers or contract for services to carry out the day-to-day activities of the managed operation. May engage in or supervise planting, cultivating, harvesting, and financial and marketing activities.
6,500 people do this job in the US. $89,900 a year.
of the working time. Estimate.
- 45%
- 7%
- 48%
Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 8%. Today's estimate: 12%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 30 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 21% | 6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days | Stays with people | |
| Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules.Done daily by most who do it. | 15% | 3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days | 25%Half by Mar 2027 | |
| Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 10% | 3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days | 25%Half by Mar 2027 | |
| Direct crop production operations, such as planning, tilling, planting, fertilizing, cultivating, spraying, and harvesting. | 7% | 1.7 work days3.3 h to 3.3 work days | Stays with people | |
| Direct the breeding or raising of stock, such as cattle, poultry, or honeybees, using recognized breeding practices to ensure stock improvement.Done daily by most who do it. | 6% | 5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days | Stays with people | |
| Obtain financing for and purchase necessary machinery, land, supplies, or livestock. | 4% | 1 work day3.3 h to 3.1 work days | 6%Half by Sep 2027 | |
| Determine types or quantities of crops, plants, or livestock to be grown and raised, based on budgets, federal incentives, market conditions, executive directives, projected sales volumes, or soil conditions. | 3% | 6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days | 8%Half by Sep 2027 | |
| Devise and participate in activities to improve fish hatching and growth rates, and to prevent disease in hatcheries.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 3% | 6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days | Stays with people | |
| Determine how to allocate resources and to respond to unanticipated problems, such as insect infestation, drought, and fire.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 3% | 3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days | 25%Half by Mar 2027 | |
| Hire, supervise, and train support workers. | 3% | 5 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days | Stays with people | |
| Analyze market conditions to determine acreage allocations.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 2% | 3.3 h1.7 h to 1.3 work days | 38%Half by Nov 2026 | |
| Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers.Done daily by most who do it. | 2% | 1.7 h25 min to 5 h | Stays with people |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Agricultural Technicians3% now, 9% by 2028
- Agricultural Engineers1% now, 23% by 2028
- Soil and Plant Scientists1% now, 16% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers16% now, 24% by 2028
- Agricultural Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary17% now, 57% by 2028
- Biofuels Production Managers19% now, 57% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).