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Environmental Economists

Conduct economic analysis related to environmental protection and use of the natural environment, such as water, air, land, and renewable energy resources. Evaluate and quantify benefits, costs, incentives, and impacts of alternative options using economic principles and statistical techniques.

$124,720 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
1%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 96%
  • 4%
  • 0%
24%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
January 2029

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 96% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 1%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 1% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Conduct research on economic and environmental topics, such as alternative fuel use, public and private land use, soil conservation, air and water pollution control, and endangered species protection.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 10%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Develop economic models, forecasts, or scenarios to predict future economic and environmental outcomes.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.10%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Conduct research to study the relationships among environmental problems and patterns of economic production and consumption.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 10%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Perform complex, dynamic, and integrated mathematical modeling of ecological, environmental, or economic systems.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 10%1.7 work weeks1.7 work days to 1.6 work months0%Half by Oct 2029
Develop programs or policy recommendations to promote sustainability and sustainable development.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 10%4.2 work days6.7 h to 2.5 work weeks0%Half by Jan 2029
Write technical documents or academic articles to communicate study results or economic forecasts.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.10%1.7 work days6.7 h to 4.2 work days1%Half by Nov 2027
Write social, legal, or economic impact statements to inform decision makers for natural resource policies, standards, or programs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 10%1.3 work weeks1.7 work days to 4.2 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Assess the costs and benefits of various activities, policies, or regulations that affect the environment or natural resource stocks.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Collect and analyze data to compare the environmental implications of economic policy or practice alternatives.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 6%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Develop programs or policy recommendations to achieve environmental goals in cost-effective ways.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%4.2 work days6.7 h to 2.5 work weeks0%Half by Jan 2029
Examine the exhaustibility of natural resources or the long-term costs of environmental rehabilitation.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks1%Half by Sep 2028
Demonstrate or promote the economic benefits of sound environmental regulations.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 2%6.7 h1.7 h to 3.3 work daysStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.