Bicycle Repairers
Repair and service bicycles.
12,170 people do this job in the US. $42,780 a year.
of the working time. Estimate.
- 11%
- 5%
- 85%
Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 11%. Today's estimate: 11%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 18 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assemble new bicycles.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 22% | 2.5 h1.3 h to 4.2 h | Stays with people | |
| Install and adjust speed and gear mechanisms.Done several times a day by most who do it. | 8% | 29 min17 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Weld broken or cracked frames together, using oxyacetylene torches and welding rods.Done yearly or less by most who do it. | 8% | 2.5 h1.3 h to 4.2 h | Stays with people | |
| Install new tires and tubes.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 7% | 21 min13 min to 33 min | Stays with people | |
| Clean and lubricate bicycle parts.Done several times a day by most who do it. | 6% | 25 min13 min to 1.1 h | Stays with people | |
| Paint bicycle frames, using spray guns or brushes.Done yearly or less by most who do it. | 6% | 2.1 h50 min to 5 h | Stays with people | |
| Install and adjust brakes and brake pads.Done several times a day by most who do it. | 5% | 21 min13 min to 38 min | Stays with people | |
| Estimate costs of repairing bicycles and write service tickets.Done several times a day by most who do it. | 5% | 17 min8 min to 29 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Align wheels.Done several times a day by most who do it. | 5% | 25 min13 min to 42 min | Stays with people | |
| Disassemble axles to repair, adjust, and replace defective parts, using hand tools.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 5% | 33 min17 min to 1.1 h | Stays with people | |
| Sell bicycles and accessories.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 5% | 21 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Make adjustments to bicycles to improve customer fit and riding position.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 4% | 25 min13 min to 50 min | Stays with people |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Motorcycle Mechanics0% now, 0% by 2028
- Tire Repairers and Changers1% now, 1% by 2028
- Outdoor Power Equipment and Other Small Engine Mechanics8% now, 8% by 2028
- Rail Car Repairers3% now, 3% by 2028
- Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers3% now, 3% by 2028
- Engine and Other Machine Assemblers8% now, 9% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).