State
Vermont
303,890 people work in Vermont, at mean pay of $69,050 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 138 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 40%
- 8%
- 52%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 48% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 5,100 | 58% | 6.2 million | $48K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 2,950 | 76% | 4.7 million | $55K |
| Cashiers | 7,030 | 30% | 4.4 million | $36K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 2,390 | 87% | 4.3 million | $48K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 2,870 | 67% | 4 million | $48K |
| Retail Salespersons | 8,250 | 20% | 3.4 million | $37K |
| Registered Nurses | 7,410 | 21% | 3.2 million | $97K |
| General and Operations Managers | 8,000 | 19% | 3.1 million | $99K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 3,360 | 39% | 2.7 million | $49K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 3,610 | 29% | 2.2 million | $63K |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 6,830 | 15% | 2.2 million | $36K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 5,360 | 18% | 2 million | $37K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 504 smaller jobs (148,580 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 93% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses2.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers2 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons2 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders1.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers1.4 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General1.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive1.2 million hours89% of the task within reach
- Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers1.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Verify that all firm and regulatory policies and procedures have been documented, implemented, and communicated.Compliance Officers1.1 million hours94% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers1 million hours100% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in Vermont
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works