Nonmetro area, Missouri
Southwest Missouri nonmetropolitan area
79,560 people work in this area, at mean pay of $48,220 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 31 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 29%
- 18%
- 53%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 20%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 61% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 1,760 | 54% | 2 million | $38K |
| General and Operations Managers | 3,160 | 23% | 1.5 million | $61K |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,850 | 19% | 1.2 million | $31K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 840 | 64% | 1.1 million | $36K |
| Cashiers | 2,730 | 19% | 1.1 million | $30K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 2,350 | 19% | 928,720 | $36K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 1,440 | 30% | 892,571 | $46K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 960 | 43% | 850,639 | $38K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 480 | 78% | 774,759 | $41K |
| Registered Nurses | 1,270 | 28% | 734,366 | $80K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 870 | 40% | 731,080 | $36K |
| Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education | 980 | 32% | 654,328 | $48K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 246 smaller jobs (28,470 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 92% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General440,834 hours100% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers404,068 hours40% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers401,406 hours100% of the task within reach
- Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers386,297 hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers363,974 hours80% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons345,336 hours50% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers337,257 hours59% of the task within reach
- Plan or direct activities, such as sales promotions, that require coordination with other department managers.General and Operations Managers286,569 hours50% of the task within reach
- Compile and maintain non-monetary reports and records.Cashiers286,021 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General245,595 hours80% of the task within reach
Other areas in Missouri
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- St. Louis, MO-IL1,341,320 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- Kansas City, MO-KS1,096,110 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- Springfield, MO223,030 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Southeast Missouri nonmetropolitan area164,560 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- Central Missouri nonmetropolitan area154,880 people20% now, 30% by 2028
- Columbia, MO107,680 people23% now, 37% by 2028
- North Missouri nonmetropolitan area106,300 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- Joplin, MO-KS87,190 people21% now, 30% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works