State
District of Columbia
701,920 people work in District of Columbia, at mean pay of $111,010 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
a year: 506 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 52%
- 24%
- 24%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 27% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 30% within reach now and 36% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
What handing the work over would take
For the 617,111 people in jobs so far, 88% of the area's people; the others are in the totals above and join this split as the review reaches their jobs. Shares of their working time within reach now, at the pace and reliability chosen above. Estimates. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
about 346 million hours a year. The material can be handed to a model and the result handed back.
about 106 million hours a year. The model has to be connected to the system the work lives in.
about 130 million hours a year. Short enough by length. This site leaves conversation with people, so it is not in the totals.
What their work is made of
- 41%
- 10%
- 13%
- 13%
- 25%
Each task's time split among five kinds of doing, judged one task at a time; only documents and systems can count as within reach.
What changes for the people
For the 617,111 people in jobs reviewed task by task so far, by the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five: the shares of their working time, from each job page's own map, weighted by how many people here do that job. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job. Estimates.
Conversation, in-person and hands-on work.
Desk work within reach in tasks where a mistake costs something or a licensed person signs.
Desk work within reach that is small if wrong, with lighter checks.
What most people here would learn first
How many of them have each skill among the first two things to learn on their job's page. Every state, and the US
- Reviewing work you did not do yourself376,261 (61%)
- Briefing a model and checking its drafts322,746 (52%)
- The hands-on craft168,917 (27%)
- Judgment where errors are severe125,163 (20%)
- The conversations109,742 (18%)
- Signing off under your license39,993 (6%)
- Running AI inside the business systems39,050 (6%)
- Dealing with people outside the organization21,620 (4%)
- Handling protected records2,960 (under 1%)
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 15%. Today's estimate: 36%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 27% of the working time of the people in this area as physical work. For 19% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 14% in a purpose-built cell, 5% in a structured facility. 0.25 of 3.
- Not physical 73%
- No robot shown 8%
- In a purpose-built cell 14%
- In a structured facility 5%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. Weighted by the people in each occupation; each job's page names the robot behind each rated task.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index. The 40 largest jobs hold 54% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| General and Operations Managers | 36,150 | 45% | 34 million | $168K |
| Lawyers | 33,070 | 32% | 22 million | $195K |
| Management Analysts | 19,000 | 37% | 14 million | $126K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 11,800 | 59% | 14 million | $60K |
| Sustainability Specialists | 9,448 | 61% | 12 million | $108K |
| Public Relations Specialists | 16,720 | 34% | 12 million | $103K |
| Online Merchants | 9,448 | 54% | 11 million | $108K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 7,550 | 64% | 10 million | $48K |
| Paralegals and Legal Assistants | 6,400 | 74% | 9.8 million | $90K |
| Financial Managers | 8,930 | 52% | 9.7 million | $189K |
| Accountants and Auditors | 9,810 | 45% | 9.2 million | $112K |
| Human Resources Specialists | 6,910 | 63% | 9 million | $111K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 437 smaller jobs (308,240 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 96% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Develop and implement records management program for filing, protection, and retrieval of records, and assure compliance with program.Management Analysts9.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Study the objectives, promotional policies, or needs of organizations to develop public relations strategies that will influence public opinion or promote ideas, products, or services.Public Relations Specialists9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze data gathered and develop solutions or alternative methods of proceeding.Management Analysts6.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare, draft, and review legal documents, such as wills, deeds, patent applications, mortgages, leases, and contracts.Lawyers5.8 million hours97% of the task within reach
- Plan or direct development or communication of programs to maintain favorable public or stockholder perceptions of an organization's accomplishments, agenda, or environmental responsibility.Public Relations Specialists5.4 million hours60% of the task within reach
- Gather and organize information on problems or procedures.Management Analysts4.7 million hours80% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers4.6 million hours40% of the task within reach
- Analyze the probable outcomes of cases, using knowledge of legal precedents.Lawyers4.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers4.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers4.2 million hours80% of the task within reach
The regional report on District of Columbia
This page lists the largest jobs. The scan reads the whole workforce: every occupation BLS publishes here that the site has task data for, 96% of the people, at their local headcount and pay. The preview is free. The full report ($249, or included in Pro) is the report for a workforce board, a college or an economic development team: every occupation and the tasks behind its hours, what handing the work over would take, what changes for the people in each job and what they would learn, with the workbook and the slides to cite. Dated, with the method. For workforce boards and colleges
See what it holds first: the full report for Worcester, MA, Excel and slides.
Metro and nonmetro areas in District of Columbia
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works
Questions about this area
- How much of the work in District of Columbia is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 36% of the paid hours in District of Columbia are within reach of AI models now and 52% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (48% to 52% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which jobs in District of Columbia carry the most hours within reach?
- By hours within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index): General and Operations Managers (36,150 people, 45% of their time, about 34 million hours a year); Lawyers (33,070 people, 32% of their time, about 22 million hours a year); and Management Analysts (19,000 people, 37% of their time, about 14 million hours a year).
- Which tasks in District of Columbia carry the most hours within reach by the end of 2028?
- Develop and implement records management program for filing, protection, and retrieval of records, and assure compliance with program (Management Analysts, about 9.4 million hours a year); Study the objectives, promotional policies, or needs of organizations to develop public relations strategies that will influence public opinion or promote ideas, products, or services (Public Relations Specialists, about 9 million hours a year); and Analyze data gathered and develop solutions or alternative methods of proceeding (Management Analysts, about 6.3 million hours a year).
- What would people working in District of Columbia learn first?
- Among the 617,111 people in jobs reviewed task by task, the skills most often among the first two things to learn on their job's page are reviewing work you did not do yourself (376,261 people); briefing a model and checking its drafts (322,746 people); and the hands-on craft (168,917 people). By the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five, about 49% of their working time stays with people, 43% becomes checking a model's work and 7% can be handed over with lighter checks. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job.
- How is this estimated?
- BLS counts the people in each occupation in District of Columbia (May 2025); each occupation's share of working time within reach comes from its O*NET tasks, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. The area's share is those shares weighted by people. Task data covers 96% of its people, and 88% are in occupations reviewed task by task. Data checked November 10, 2026.
Embed these figures on your site
A small card with the share of working time within reach now and at the end of 2027, 2028 and 2030, the date and a link back. Free under CC BY 4.0; the card carries the credit.