State
District of Columbia
701,920 people work in District of Columbia, at mean pay of $111,010 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 283 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 55%
- 11%
- 34%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 15% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 17%. Today's estimate: 20%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 54% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| General and Operations Managers | 36,150 | 19% | 14 million | $168K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 7,550 | 67% | 10 million | $48K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 11,800 | 39% | 9.6 million | $60K |
| Office Clerks, General | 5,670 | 58% | 6.9 million | $55K |
| Lawyers | 33,070 | 10% | 6.8 million | $195K |
| Human Resources Specialists | 6,910 | 44% | 6.3 million | $111K |
| Online Merchants | 9,448 | 29% | 5.7 million | $108K |
| Registered Nurses | 11,440 | 21% | 5 million | $103K |
| Project Management Specialists | 5,170 | 45% | 4.8 million | $105K |
| Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants | 4,560 | 47% | 4.5 million | $91K |
| Security Guards | 15,880 | 13% | 4.3 million | $64K |
| Public Relations Specialists | 16,720 | 12% | 4.3 million | $103K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 437 smaller jobs (308,240 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 96% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Study the objectives, promotional policies, or needs of organizations to develop public relations strategies that will influence public opinion or promote ideas, products, or services.Public Relations Specialists8 million hours90% of the task within reach
- Develop and implement records management program for filing, protection, and retrieval of records, and assure compliance with program.Management Analysts7.2 million hours76% of the task within reach
- Gather evidence to formulate defense or to initiate legal actions by such means as interviewing clients and witnesses to ascertain the facts of a case.Lawyers6.8 million hours92% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers6.4 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Analyze data gathered and develop solutions or alternative methods of proceeding.Management Analysts6.2 million hours98% of the task within reach
- Gather and organize information on problems or procedures.Management Analysts5.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers5.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare, draft, and review legal documents, such as wills, deeds, patent applications, mortgages, leases, and contracts.Lawyers4.9 million hours81% of the task within reach
- Analyze the probable outcomes of cases, using knowledge of legal precedents.Lawyers4.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers4.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in District of Columbia
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works