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Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers

Use hand-welding, flame-cutting, hand-soldering, or brazing equipment to weld or join metal components or to fill holes, indentations, or seams of fabricated metal products.

416,210 people do this job in the US. $53,750 a year.

now
16%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 17%
  • 0%
  • 83%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 17% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 15%. Today's estimate: 16%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 8% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 15% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 16% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 30 tasks from .

TaskKind
Weld components in flat, vertical, or overhead positions.Done daily by most who do it. 11%50 min13 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Weld separately or in combination, using aluminum, stainless steel, cast iron, and other alloys.Done daily by most who do it. 8%1.3 h17 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Develop templates and models for welding projects, using mathematical calculations based on blueprint information.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.1 h25 min to 2.1 h95%Half by now
Determine required equipment and welding methods, applying knowledge of metallurgy, geometry, and welding techniques.Done daily by most who do it. 7%38 min13 min to 1.3 h98%Half by now
Repair products by dismantling, straightening, reshaping, and reassembling parts, using cutting torches, straightening presses, and hand tools.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 7%2.1 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Recognize, set up, and operate hand and power tools common to the welding trade, such as shielded metal arc and gas metal arc welding equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 5%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Prepare all material surfaces to be welded, ensuring that there is no loose or thick scale, slag, rust, moisture, grease, or other foreign matter.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Align and clamp workpieces together, using rules, squares, or hand tools, or position items in fixtures, jigs, or vises.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Monitor the fitting, burning, and welding processes to avoid overheating of parts or warping, shrinking, distortion, or expansion of material.Done daily by most who do it. 4%29 min8 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Guide and direct flames or electrodes on or across workpieces to straighten, bend, melt, or build up metal.Done daily by most who do it.4%38 min8 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Chip or grind off excess weld, slag, or spatter, using hand scrapers or power chippers, portable grinders, or arc-cutting equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min8 min to 58 minStays with people
Analyze engineering drawings, blueprints, specifications, sketches, work orders, and material safety data sheets to plan layout, assembly, and operations.3%38 min17 min to 1.7 h98%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.