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Shoe Machine Operators and Tenders

Operate or tend a variety of machines to join, decorate, reinforce, or finish shoes and shoe parts.

3,280 people do this job in the US. $35,650 a year.

now
6%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 6%
  • 0%
  • 94%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 6% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 5%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 6%. Today's estimate: 6%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 2% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 2% within reacho1, December 2024: 3% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 5% within reacho3, April 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 6% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 6% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 6% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 6% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Perform routine equipment maintenance such as cleaning and lubricating machines or replacing broken needles.Done daily by most who do it. 18%13 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Collect shoe parts from conveyer belts or racks and place them in machinery such as ovens or on molds for dressing, returning them to conveyers or racks to send them to the next work station.Done hourly or more by most who do it.10%10 min4 min to 21 minStays with people
Test machinery to ensure proper functioning before beginning production.Done daily by most who do it. 8%7 min3 min to 17 minStays with people
Operate or tend machines to join, decorate, reinforce, or finish shoes and shoe parts.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%4 min2 min to 13 minStays with people
Study work orders or shoe part tags to obtain information about workloads, specifications, and the types of materials to be used.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 6%4 min2 min to 13 min100%Half by now
Select and place spools of thread or pre-wound bobbins into shuttles, or onto spindles or loupers of stitching machines.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 6%4 min2 min to 10 minStays with people
Inspect finished products to ensure that shoes have been completed according to specifications.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 6%3 min1 min to 8 minStays with people
Turn knobs to adjust stitch length and thread tension.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%4 min2 min to 10 minStays with people
Turn setscrews on needle bars, and position required numbers of needles in stitching machines.Done daily by most who do it.5%10 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Remove and examine shoes, shoe parts, and designs to verify conformance to specifications such as proper embedding of stitches in channels.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%3 min1 min to 7 minStays with people
Draw thread through machine guide slots, needles, and presser feet in preparation for stitching, or load rolls of wire through machine axles.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%3 min2 min to 8 minStays with people
Align parts to be stitched, following seams, edges, or markings, before positioning them under needles.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%2 min1 min to 4 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).