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Rock Splitters, Quarry

Separate blocks of rough dimension stone from quarry mass using jackhammers, wedges, or chop saws.

3,320 people do this job in the US. $48,740 a year.

now
0%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 0%
  • 0%
  • 100%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
No desk work

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 0% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 0%. Today's estimate: 0%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 0% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 0% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 9 tasks from .

TaskKind
Remove pieces of stone from larger masses, using jackhammers, wedges, and other tools.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 31%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Drill holes along outlines, using jackhammers.Done hourly or more by most who do it.17%1.1 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Insert wedges and feathers into holes, and drive wedges with sledgehammers to split stone sections from masses.Done daily by most who do it. 13%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Cut grooves along outlines, using chisels.Done daily by most who do it.11%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Cut slabs of stone into sheets that will be used for floors or counters.Done daily by most who do it.10%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Set charges of explosives to split rock.Done more than weekly by most who do it.6%1.7 h38 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Drill holes into sides of stones broken from masses, insert dogs or attach slings, and direct removal of stones.Done more than monthly by most who do it.5%42 min17 min to 1.4 hStays with people
Locate grain line patterns to determine how rocks will split when cut.Done daily by most who do it. 4%17 min8 min to 29 minStays with people
Mark dimensions or outlines on stone prior to cutting, using rules and chalk lines.Done daily by most who do it. 2%21 min8 min to 38 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).