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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN

Recreation and Fitness Studies Teachers, Postsecondary

In short: today's best AI models could do about 50% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about 80% by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 11% of the time, stays with people.

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Teach courses pertaining to recreation, leisure, and fitness studies, including exercise physiology and facilities management. Includes both teachers primarily engaged in teaching and those who do a combination of teaching and research.

12,630 people do this job in the US. $77,270 a year.

A typical 40-hour week

Not yet reviewed task by task
  • AI could take on20 h
  • A person checks AI's work0 h
  • Desk work AI can't do yet16 h
  • Stays with people4 h

Recreation and Fitness Studies Teachers, Postsecondary, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 20 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 16 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 4 hours stay with people.

The largest pieces: Prepare course materials, such as syllabi, homework assignments, and handouts (about 3 h); Evaluate and grade students' class work, assignments, and papers (about 3 h); Perform administrative duties, such as serving as department heads (about 2 h).

Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.

now
50%

of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.

Kinds of work
  • 89%
  • 9%
  • 2%
11%

of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 89% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030
Change assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 16%. Today's estimate: 50%.

0%25%50%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 16% within reachToday (estimate), November 2026: 50% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Measured use over time

Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, 0.0082% went to this job's tasks in May 2026, the 428th largest of the 447 jobs that showed up at all; 5 of its 23 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.2% to 0.17% (released February and March 2025); 0.21% to 0.14% (August 2025 to February 2026); 0.0074% to 0.0082% (April to May 2026).

0%0.25%0.5%20252026released February 2025: 0.2%released March 2025: 0.17%the week of Aug 4, 2025: 0.21%the week of Nov 13, 2025: 0.21%the week of Feb 5, 2026: 0.14%April 2026: 0.0074%May 2026: 0.0082%
Each dot is one release's sample. A line joins releases made by the same method; a change of method starts a new line. Point at a dot for its window.
Each release
ConversationsShareRankTasks seen
Released February 20250.2%94 of 70818 of 23
Released March 20250.17%100 of 70318 of 23
The week of Aug 4, 20250.21%86 of 65518 of 23
The week of Nov 13, 20250.21%80 of 67220 of 23
The week of Feb 5, 20260.14%123 of 67720 of 23
April 20260.0074%418 of 4344 of 23
May 20260.0082%428 of 4475 of 23

Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.

Robots and the physical work

Anthropic rates almost none of this job's working time as physical work, so robots do not reach it.

Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.

The tasks

Sorted by . 23 tasks from .

TaskKind
Plan, evaluate, and revise curricula, course content, course materials, and methods of instruction.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.15%1.7 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days31%Half by Mar 2027
Conduct research in a particular field of knowledge and publish findings in professional journals, books, or electronic media.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.15%3.5 work weeks4.2 work days to 2.4 work months0%Half by Jan 2029
Evaluate and grade students' class work, assignments, and papers.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.10%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days80%Half by now
Prepare course materials, such as syllabi, homework assignments, and handouts.Done several times a day by most who do it. 8%3.3 h1.7 h to 1 work day99%Half by now
Perform administrative duties, such as serving as department heads.Done daily by most who do it.7%3.3 h50 min to 1 work day86%Half by now
Write grant proposals to procure external research funding.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 6%1.3 work weeks2.1 work days to 3.3 work weeks2%Half by Jan 2028
Keep abreast of developments in the field by reading current literature, talking with colleagues, and participating in professional conferences.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.6%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h96%Half by now
Prepare and deliver lectures to undergraduate or graduate students on topics such as anatomy, therapeutic recreation, and conditioning theory.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.6%2.5 h1.7 h to 5 h100%Half by now
Initiate, facilitate, and moderate classroom discussions.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.1 h38 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Maintain regularly scheduled office hours to advise and assist students.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.7 h50 min to 2.5 h100%Half by now
Compile, administer, and grade examinations, or assign this work to others.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days80%Half by now
Provide professional consulting services to government or industry.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.3%2.1 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeks15%Half by Oct 2027

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).

Questions about this job

How much of the work of Recreation and Fitness Studies Teachers, Postsecondary is within reach of AI now?
An estimated 50% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 80% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (68% to 88% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
Which tasks of Recreation and Fitness Studies Teachers, Postsecondary come within reach first?
Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Prepare course materials, such as syllabi, homework assignments, and handouts (99% of the task's time now); Evaluate and grade students' class work, assignments, and papers (80% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028); and Perform administrative duties, such as serving as department heads (86% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028).
Which tasks of Recreation and Fitness Studies Teachers, Postsecondary stay with people?
Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Initiate, facilitate, and moderate classroom discussions; Supervise undergraduate or graduate teaching, internship, and research work; and Participate in campus and community events. Together such tasks are about 11% of the working time.
Do people already use AI for the work of Recreation and Fitness Studies Teachers, Postsecondary?
In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026 and tied to a work task, 0.0082% went to this job's tasks, the 428th largest share of the 447 jobs that showed up; 5 of its 23 tasks appeared. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 11%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
Can robots do the physical work of Recreation and Fitness Studies Teachers, Postsecondary?
Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds almost none of the working time is physical work, so robots do not reach it.
How is this estimated?
From the 23 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.

How the estimates are made

This job in your state or metro area
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