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Gambling Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate gambling operations in a casino. May formulate house rules.

5,030 people do this job in the US. $93,220 a year.

now
31%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 74%
  • 11%
  • 15%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
January 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 74% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 25%. Today's estimate: 31%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 5% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 8% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 8% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 11% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 25% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 31% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Establish policies on issues, such as the type of gambling offered and the odds, the extension of credit, or the serving of food and beverages.Done daily by most who do it. 28%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Market or promote the casino to bring in business.Done daily by most who do it. 14%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work days21%Half by May 2027
Maintain familiarity with all games used at a facility, as well as strategies or tricks employed in those games.Done daily by most who do it. 10%1.7 h25 min to 5 h51%Half by now
Circulate among gaming tables to ensure that operations are conducted properly, that dealers follow house rules, or that players are not cheating.Done hourly or more by most who do it.8%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Prepare work schedules and station arrangements and keep attendance records.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 h90%Half by now
Monitor staffing levels to ensure that games and tables are adequately staffed for each shift, arranging for staff rotations and breaks and locating substitute employees as necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 6%38 min13 min to 1.7 h95%Half by now
Train new workers or evaluate their performance.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.3 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Track supplies of money to tables and perform any required paperwork.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Review operational expenses, budget estimates, betting accounts, or collection reports for accuracy.Done daily by most who do it.3%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Direct the compilation of summary sheets that show wager amounts and payoffs for races or events.Done daily by most who do it.3%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Remove suspected cheaters, such as card counters or other players who may have systems that shift the odds of winning to their favor.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Direct the distribution of complimentary hotel rooms, meals, or other discounts or free items given to players, based on their length of play and betting totals.Done daily by most who do it. 2%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).